Ratings and forecasts snapshot, 2026-10-16

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 15	Likely range
1	SEASeattle Seahawks	+0.90	3−3	+0.00	+0.18 … +1.74
2	SFSan Francisco 49ers	+0.79	5−0	+0.00	+0.10 … +1.61
3	JAXJacksonville Jaguars	+0.76	4−1	+0.00	+0.07 … +1.56
4	BUFBuffalo Bills	+0.76	4−1	+0.00	+0.09 … +1.53
5	MINMinnesota Vikings	+0.63	5−0	+0.00	−0.01 … +1.40
6	NENew England Patriots	+0.62	3−2	+0.00	+0.01 … +1.36
7	LARLos Angeles Rams	+0.47	2−3	+0.00	−0.13 … +1.12
8	DENDenver Broncos	+0.44	4−2	+0.00	−0.13 … +1.14
9	KCKansas City Chiefs	+0.36	4−0	+0.00	−0.22 … +1.06
10	BALBaltimore Ravens	+0.33	4−1	+0.00	−0.23 … +0.97
11	DETDetroit Lions	+0.31	3−2	+0.00	−0.28 … +0.96
12	CHIChicago Bears	+0.24	3−2	+0.00	−0.30 … +0.84
13	GBGreen Bay Packers	+0.17	3−2	+0.00	−0.39 … +0.80
14	PHIPhiladelphia Eagles	+0.11	2−3	+0.00	−0.45 … +0.67
15	PITPittsburgh Steelers	+0.09	3−2	+0.00	−0.46 … +0.68
16	HOUHouston Texans	+0.09	1−4	+0.00	−0.46 … +0.65
17	CINCincinnati Bengals	+0.02	3−2	+0.00	−0.56 … +0.57
18	INDIndianapolis Colts	−0.10	2−3	+0.00	−0.69 … +0.46
19	ATLAtlanta Falcons	−0.15	2−3	+0.00	−0.77 … +0.41
20	CARCarolina Panthers	−0.16	2−2	+0.00	−0.78 … +0.41
21	NYGNew York Giants	−0.23	3−1−1	+0.00	−0.87 … +0.34
22	TBTampa Bay Buccaneers	−0.26	1−4	+0.00	−0.91 … +0.31
23	DALDallas Cowboys	−0.26	2−3	+0.00	−0.90 … +0.30
24	LACLos Angeles Chargers	−0.34	0−5	+0.00	−1.02 … +0.23
25	CLECleveland Browns	−0.35	3−2	+0.00	−1.02 … +0.25
26	LVLas Vegas Raiders	−0.50	3−2	+0.00	−1.24 … +0.12
27	WSHWashington Commanders	−0.52	1−3−1	+0.00	−1.27 … +0.10
28	NONew Orleans Saints	−0.58	1−4	+0.00	−1.35 … +0.06
29	NYJNew York Jets	−0.67	2−3	+0.00	−1.45 … −0.02
30	MIAMiami Dolphins	−0.72	0−5	+0.00	−1.53 … −0.03
31	ARIArizona Cardinals	−0.79	1−4	+0.00	−1.66 … −0.09
32	TENTennessee Titans	−1.44	0−5	+0.00	−2.56 … −0.53

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Jun 13	Likely range
1	OKCOklahoma City Thunder	+1.30	75−22	+0.00	+1.01 … +1.62
2	NYNew York Knicks	+0.93	70−32	+0.03	+0.66 … +1.21
3	SASan Antonio Spurs	+0.92	75−31	−0.02	+0.65 … +1.21
4	BOSBoston Celtics	+0.83	59−30	+0.00	+0.56 … +1.11
5	DETDetroit Pistons	+0.73	67−29	+0.01	+0.45 … +1.01
6	DENDenver Nuggets	+0.52	56−32	−0.00	+0.25 … +0.80
7	CLECleveland Cavaliers	+0.52	60−40	+0.00	+0.26 … +0.79
8	HOUHouston Rockets	+0.46	54−34	−0.00	+0.19 … +0.74
9	MINMinnesota Timberwolves	+0.39	55−39	−0.01	+0.14 … +0.65
10	LALLos Angeles Lakers	+0.34	57−35	+0.00	+0.08 … +0.62
11	LACLA Clippers	+0.23	42−40	+0.00	−0.04 … +0.49
12	ATLAtlanta Hawks	+0.18	48−40	+0.00	−0.07 … +0.44
13	CHACharlotte Hornets	+0.16	44−38	−0.00	−0.11 … +0.43
14	TORToronto Raptors	+0.16	49−40	−0.00	−0.10 … +0.42
15	ORLOrlando Magic	+0.10	48−41	−0.01	−0.17 … +0.37
16	MIAMiami Heat	+0.08	43−39	−0.00	−0.20 … +0.35
17	PHXPhoenix Suns	+0.05	45−41	+0.00	−0.22 … +0.32
18	PORPortland Trail Blazers	−0.03	43−44	−0.00	−0.29 … +0.24
19	GSGolden State Warriors	−0.05	37−45	−0.01	−0.33 … +0.22
20	PHIPhiladelphia 76ers	−0.10	49−44	+0.00	−0.36 … +0.16
21	MILMilwaukee Bucks	−0.47	32−50	+0.00	−0.76 … −0.19
22	CHIChicago Bulls	−0.49	31−51	−0.00	−0.78 … −0.22
23	INDIndiana Pacers	−0.55	19−63	−0.00	−0.85 … −0.26
24	DALDallas Mavericks	−0.56	26−56	−0.01	−0.86 … −0.28
25	MEMMemphis Grizzlies	−0.59	25−57	−0.00	−0.90 … −0.30
26	NONew Orleans Pelicans	−0.63	26−56	−0.00	−0.95 … −0.33
27	SACSacramento Kings	−0.84	22−60	+0.00	−1.14 … −0.54
28	UTAHUtah Jazz	−1.05	22−60	−0.00	−1.38 … −0.72
29	BKNBrooklyn Nets	−1.13	20−62	+0.00	−1.47 … −0.81
30	WSHWashington Wizards	−1.41	17−65	−0.00	−1.78 … −1.06

Our forecast Kalshi market price at 7:06 AM CT Times are Central

StartMatchupWho wins MarginTotalFair odds

FRI 7:00P
MLB

TB Tampa Bay Rays 51%

CLE Cleveland Guardians 49%

← TB CLE →

Kalshi market price: CLE 50¢ · TB 50¢

Margin about even

Total 7.6

Fair odds TB −106 · CLE +106

FRI 8:00P
MLB

MIL Milwaukee Brewers 52%

LAD Los Angeles Dodgers 48%

← MIL LAD →

Margin about even

Total 8.3

Fair odds MIL −108 · LAD +108

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 15	Likely range
1	MILMilwaukee Brewers	+0.51	110−60	+0.01	+0.29 … +0.74
2	LADLos Angeles Dodgers	+0.35	103−67	−0.01	+0.15 … +0.55
3	NYYNew York Yankees	+0.26	95−71	+0.00	+0.08 … +0.46
4	CHCChicago Cubs	+0.22	89−75	−0.00	+0.05 … +0.41
5	TBTampa Bay Rays	+0.21	102−66	−0.01	+0.03 … +0.39
6	SDSan Diego Padres	+0.18	94−74	+0.00	+0.01 … +0.37
7	ATLAtlanta Braves	+0.15	97−72	+0.00	−0.01 … +0.33
8	BOSBoston Red Sox	+0.13	87−77	−0.00	−0.02 … +0.31
9	PHIPhiladelphia Phillies	+0.12	89−76	+0.00	−0.04 … +0.30
10	CLECleveland Guardians	+0.07	90−80	+0.01	−0.08 … +0.23
11	ARIArizona Diamondbacks	+0.05	86−76	+0.00	−0.11 … +0.22
12	DETDetroit Tigers	+0.03	76−86	+0.00	−0.13 … +0.19
13	PITPittsburgh Pirates	+0.02	82−80	−0.00	−0.14 … +0.19
14	TORToronto Blue Jays	+0.02	79−83	+0.00	−0.13 … +0.19
15	CHWChicago White Sox	+0.01	88−81	+0.00	−0.15 … +0.17
16	MIAMiami Marlins	−0.01	80−82	+0.00	−0.17 … +0.16
17	NYMNew York Mets	−0.01	74−88	+0.00	−0.17 … +0.14
18	BALBaltimore Orioles	−0.03	79−82	−0.00	−0.19 … +0.13
19	HOUHouston Astros	−0.05	81−83	+0.00	−0.22 … +0.11
20	TEXTexas Rangers	−0.06	80−82	−0.00	−0.23 … +0.10
21	STLSt. Louis Cardinals	−0.07	77−85	−0.00	−0.24 … +0.10
22	SEASeattle Mariners	−0.09	76−86	−0.00	−0.26 … +0.07
23	WSHWashington Nationals	−0.09	77−85	−0.00	−0.27 … +0.08
24	MINMinnesota Twins	−0.13	77−85	−0.00	−0.31 … +0.04
25	CINCincinnati Reds	−0.14	75−87	−0.00	−0.32 … +0.03
26	KCKansas City Royals	−0.18	69−93	+0.00	−0.36 … −0.00
27	SFSan Francisco Giants	−0.18	65−97	+0.00	−0.38 … −0.01
28	LAALos Angeles Angels	−0.32	62−100	−0.00	−0.54 … −0.12
29	ATHAthletics	−0.44	64−98	−0.00	−0.66 … −0.23
30	COLColorado Rockies	−0.56	58−104	−0.00	−0.80 … −0.35

Our forecast Kalshi market price at 7:06 AM CT Times are Central

StartMatchupWho wins MarginTotalFair odds

FRI 8:00P
NHL

PIT Pittsburgh Penguins 36%

COL Colorado Avalanche 64%

← PIT COL →

Kalshi market price: COL 66¢ · PIT 34¢

Margin COL by 0.8

Total 6.9

Fair odds COL −178 · PIT +178

FRI 9:00P
NHL

BOS Boston Bruins 51%

ANA Anaheim Ducks 49%

← BOS ANA →

Kalshi market price: ANA 48¢ · BOS 52¢

Margin about even

Total 6.6

Fair odds BOS −103 · ANA +103

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 15	Likely range
1	CARCarolina Hurricanes	+0.55	6−2	+0.01	+0.22 … +0.94
2	COLColorado Avalanche	+0.48	4−3	+0.01	+0.16 … +0.85
3	TBTampa Bay Lightning	+0.26	5−2	+0.01	−0.01 … +0.58
4	VGKVegas Golden Knights	+0.25	7−2	+0.03	−0.01 … +0.56
5	DALDallas Stars	+0.18	3−4	+0.00	−0.07 … +0.48
6	MINMinnesota Wild	+0.18	5−3	+0.02	−0.07 … +0.48
7	BUFBuffalo Sabres	+0.17	4−4	+0.01	−0.08 … +0.45
8	OTTOttawa Senators	+0.16	6−2	+0.01	−0.10 … +0.45
9	WSHWashington Capitals	+0.15	4−3	+0.00	−0.11 … +0.45
10	UTAHUtah Mammoth	+0.14	6−2	+0.03	−0.10 … +0.42
11	EDMEdmonton Oilers	+0.11	5−2	−0.02	−0.14 … +0.39
12	MTLMontreal Canadiens	+0.10	3−4	+0.01	−0.14 … +0.38
13	BOSBoston Bruins	+0.10	5−2	+0.00	−0.17 … +0.37
14	STLSt. Louis Blues	+0.03	3−4	−0.01	−0.22 … +0.29
15	PITPittsburgh Penguins	+0.02	3−4	−0.00	−0.25 … +0.28
16	FLAFlorida Panthers	+0.01	4−4	+0.01	−0.23 … +0.26
17	NYRNew York Rangers	−0.00	6−3	−0.04	−0.26 … +0.25
18	WPGWinnipeg Jets	−0.01	4−3	−0.02	−0.28 … +0.24
19	CBJColumbus Blue Jackets	−0.04	2−3	+0.00	−0.31 … +0.22
20	NYINew York Islanders	−0.06	3−4	−0.01	−0.33 … +0.18
21	ANAAnaheim Ducks	−0.06	4−2	−0.00	−0.32 … +0.18
22	NJNew Jersey Devils	−0.06	4−3	+0.04	−0.34 … +0.20
23	SEASeattle Kraken	−0.10	5−3	−0.01	−0.39 … +0.16
24	DETDetroit Red Wings	−0.11	2−5	+0.01	−0.40 … +0.15
25	NSHNashville Predators	−0.13	2−5	−0.02	−0.43 … +0.13
26	TORToronto Maple Leafs	−0.14	3−5	−0.01	−0.43 … +0.13
27	LALos Angeles Kings	−0.18	0−5	−0.01	−0.50 … +0.10
28	PHIPhiladelphia Flyers	−0.19	0−9	−0.02	−0.50 … +0.07
29	SJSan Jose Sharks	−0.28	4−3	+0.01	−0.64 … +0.01
30	CGYCalgary Flames	−0.37	1−6	−0.05	−0.76 … −0.05
31	CHIChicago Blackhawks	−0.45	3−5	+0.02	−0.85 … −0.11
32	VANVancouver Canucks	−0.69	2−7	−0.02	−1.15 … −0.29

NFL · Oct 16

NBA · Oct 16

MLB · Oct 16

NHL · Oct 16