NBA futures, 2026–27
Updated Oct 27 · 10,000 simulated seasonsEach team's chance to win its division, make the playoffs, win each round and win the title, from our team ratings.
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| OKCOklahoma City Thunder | 4-0 | 62.2 | 57–68 | 96% | >99% | <1% | 90% | 72% | 52% | 39% |
| SASan Antonio Spurs | 1-2 | 55.7 | 50–61 | 64% | >99% | 2% | 78% | 50% | 23% | 14% |
| DETDetroit Pistons | 3-0 | 56.3 | 50–62 | 90% | >99% | 1% | 76% | 52% | 32% | 14% |
| NYNew York Knicks | 0-3 | 52.0 | 46–58 | 37% | 98% | 8% | 69% | 41% | 23% | 9% |
| BOSBoston Celtics | 2-1 | 53.3 | 47–59 | 54% | 99% | 5% | 68% | 40% | 21% | 8% |
| HOUHouston Rockets | 4-0 | 53.1 | 47–59 | 36% | 99% | 6% | 61% | 25% | 9% | 4% |
| MINMinnesota Timberwolves | 3-1 | 50.1 | 44–56 | 3% | 96% | 16% | 50% | 18% | 6% | 3% |
| LALLos Angeles Lakers | 3-0 | 49.9 | 44–56 | 79% | 96% | 17% | 46% | 16% | 5% | 2% |
| CHACharlotte Hornets | 3-1 | 46.8 | 41–53 | 42% | 86% | 39% | 37% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
| CLECleveland Cavaliers | 2-1 | 47.5 | 41–54 | 10% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 16% | 6% | 1% |
| ATLAtlanta Hawks | 2-2 | 46.9 | 41–53 | 45% | 87% | 36% | 36% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
| TORToronto Raptors | 2-1 | 45.4 | 39–51 | 5% | 80% | 50% | 30% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| DENDenver Nuggets | 1-2 | 45.4 | 39–51 | <1% | 82% | 49% | 26% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| PORPortland Trail Blazers | 2-0 | 44.6 | 38–51 | <1% | 77% | 54% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| PHIPhiladelphia 76ers | 3-1 | 44.9 | 39–51 | 4% | 77% | 53% | 25% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| LACLA Clippers | 1-2 | 43.2 | 37–50 | 14% | 67% | 62% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| ORLOrlando Magic | 1-2 | 42.3 | 36–49 | 12% | 59% | 71% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| PHXPhoenix Suns | 1-2 | 40.6 | 34–47 | 6% | 47% | 70% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| MIAMiami Heat | 0-4 | 36.5 | 30–43 | 2% | 22% | 70% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| GSGolden State Warriors | 1-3 | 36.3 | 30–42 | 1% | 19% | 51% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| MEMMemphis Grizzlies | 4-0 | 34.2 | 28–40 | — | 9% | 34% | <1% | <1% | — | — |
| DALDallas Mavericks | 2-2 | 32.9 | 27–39 | <1% | 6% | 26% | <1% | <1% | — | — |
| NONew Orleans Pelicans | 0-3 | 30.4 | 24–37 | <1% | 3% | 12% | <1% | <1% | — | — |
| INDIndiana Pacers | 2-2 | 29.4 | 24–35 | — | 2% | 13% | <1% | <1% | — | — |
| MILMilwaukee Bucks | 1-3 | 28.5 | 23–35 | — | 1% | 10% | <1% | — | — | — |
| CHIChicago Bulls | 1-3 | 28.0 | 22–34 | — | 1% | 9% | <1% | — | — | — |
| WSHWashington Wizards | 2-2 | 24.9 | 19–31 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | — | — | — |
| UTAHUtah Jazz | 1-3 | 24.0 | 18–30 | — | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — |
| BKNBrooklyn Nets | 0-3 | 21.5 | 16–27 | — | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — |
| SACSacramento Kings | 0-3 | 23.4 | 18–29 | — | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — |
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Range = 10th–90th percentile of simulated wins. Based on 10,000 simulated seasons using today's team ratings. Tiebreakers are simplified. Updated daily at about 6:25 a.m. CT.
Chance over time
The trend chart appears after two or more days of runs.