NFL futures, 2026
Updated Oct 27 · 10,000 simulated seasonsEach team's chance to win its division, make the playoffs, win each round and win the title, from our team ratings.
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| MINMinnesota Vikings | 6-0 | 13.1 | 11–15 | 79% | 98% | 53% | 82% | 50% | 28% | 15% |
| BUFBuffalo Bills | 5-1 | 12.3 | 10–14 | 77% | 96% | 34% | 72% | 44% | 26% | 14% |
| SFSan Francisco 49ers | 6-1 | 12.4 | 10–14 | 77% | 97% | 32% | 72% | 43% | 23% | 12% |
| SEASeattle Seahawks | 4-3 | 10.9 | 9–13 | 21% | 81% | 5% | 55% | 32% | 19% | 11% |
| DENDenver Broncos | 5-2 | 11.6 | 10–13 | 54% | 91% | 20% | 60% | 34% | 18% | 9% |
| JAXJacksonville Jaguars | 4-2 | 11.5 | 9–13 | 92% | 95% | 14% | 62% | 33% | 17% | 8% |
| KCKansas City Chiefs | 5-1 | 11.1 | 9–13 | 46% | 86% | 14% | 48% | 24% | 10% | 5% |
| CHIChicago Bears | 5-2 | 10.5 | 9–12 | 9% | 74% | 4% | 42% | 19% | 9% | 4% |
| NENew England Patriots | 4-3 | 10.1 | 8–12 | 23% | 72% | 4% | 38% | 18% | 9% | 4% |
| CINCincinnati Bengals | 4-2 | 10.8 | 9–13 | 39% | 80% | 7% | 40% | 18% | 8% | 3% |
| DETDetroit Lions | 4-2 | 10.2 | 8–12 | 11% | 70% | 5% | 38% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| PITPittsburgh Steelers | 5-2 | 10.6 | 9–13 | 34% | 73% | 5% | 38% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| LARLos Angeles Rams | 3-4 | 8.6 | 7–11 | 2% | 32% | <1% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| GBGreen Bay Packers | 4-3 | 8.9 | 7–11 | 2% | 36% | <1% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| CLECleveland Browns | 5-2 | 9.9 | 8–12 | 21% | 57% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| NYGNew York Giants | 4-2 | 8.5 | 7–10 | 61% | 63% | <1% | 25% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| BALBaltimore Ravens | 4-3 | 8.8 | 7–11 | 6% | 30% | <1% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| ATLAtlanta Falcons | 3-4 | 7.8 | 6–10 | 38% | 40% | <1% | 16% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| DALDallas Cowboys | 3-4 | 7.9 | 6–10 | 27% | 30% | <1% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| CARCarolina Panthers | 3-3 | 7.6 | 6–10 | 33% | 35% | <1% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| HOUHouston Texans | 2-5 | 7.5 | 6–9 | 6% | 13% | <1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-5 | 6.7 | 5–9 | 20% | 21% | — | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| PHIPhiladelphia Eagles | 2-5 | 6.3 | 4–8 | 6% | 7% | — | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NONew Orleans Saints | 2-5 | 6.1 | 4–8 | 9% | 9% | — | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| WSHWashington Commanders | 1-4 | 5.5 | 3–8 | 5% | 6% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LVLas Vegas Raiders | 3-4 | 6.8 | 5–9 | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| INDIndianapolis Colts | 2-5 | 6.2 | 4–8 | 2% | 3% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ARIArizona Cardinals | 2-5 | 5.7 | 4–8 | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NYJNew York Jets | 2-5 | 5.2 | 3–7 | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | — |
| LACLos Angeles Chargers | 0-6 | 4.0 | 2–6 | — | <1% | — | <1% | — | — | — |
| MIAMiami Dolphins | 1-5 | 4.4 | 3–6 | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | — |
| TENTennessee Titans | 1-6 | 3.6 | 2–5 | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | — | — | — |
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Range = 10th–90th percentile of simulated wins. Based on 10,000 simulated seasons using today's team ratings. Tiebreakers are simplified. Updated daily at about 6:25 a.m. CT.
Chance over time
The trend chart appears after two or more days of runs.