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Cavaliers at Knicks

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 22 · 6:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final CLE 111 – NY 119
← NBA / Oct 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE23273724111
NY33322232119
Team box
CLE·NY
40-86
field goals
37-86
19-46
3-pointers
14-40
12-18
free throws
31-36
32
rebounds
48
21
assists
22
15
turnovers
14
30
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE363125
OG AnunobyNY3824142
Jalen BrunsonNY342345
Evan MobleyCLE362283
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3119112
Sam MerrillCLE281931

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +17
CLE +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 17 · CLE 5lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 55%, NY 45% · Updated Oct 22, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 0.8
Expected score
CLE 114.1 – 113.3 NY
Expected total
227.4
CavaliersThe matchupKnicks
−122Our fair odds+122
114.1Expected points113.3
+0.87Power rating+0.44
0−0Season record0−0
5−5Last 104−6
Darius Garland · Max StrusOut (2 each)Josh Hart · Mitchell Robinson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · NY chance
Our model fair55.0%45.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−12255%————
NYNew York Knicks+12245%————
SpreadCLE by 0.8
CLECleveland Cavaliers−0.8our margin————
NYNew York Knicks+0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.4
Over227.4our total————
Under227.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 0.8 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%
← CLE wins byNY wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more42%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more28%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.4 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CAriel Hukportistarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·NY
May 13, 2025 vs IND
last game
May 31, 2025 at IND
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 21, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgeryOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEDe'Andre Hunter · right knee; contusionQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYJosh Hart · lower back; lumbar spasmsOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · right quad; strainQuestionable
NYOG Anunoby · left ankle; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
CLE·NY
+0.87
rating (0 = average)
+0.44
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
5−5
last 10
4−6

Rating Trend

CLE · NY · 2 days
Cleveland CavaliersNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 5−5
Apr 11, 2025at NYCLE 108 − 102
Apr 2, 2025at CLECLE 124 − 105
Feb 21, 2025at CLECLE 142 − 105
Oct 28, 2024at NYCLE 110 − 104
Mar 3, 2024at CLENY 107 − 98
Nov 1, 2023at NYCLE 95 − 89
Oct 31, 2023at CLENY 109 − 91
Apr 26, 2023at CLENY 106 − 95post
Apr 23, 2023at NYNY 102 − 93post
Apr 21, 2023at NYNY 99 − 79post

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W
May 6, 2025vs IND119 − 120L
May 4, 2025vs IND112 − 121L
Apr 28, 2025at MIA138 − 83W
Apr 26, 2025at MIA124 − 87W
Apr 23, 2025vs MIA121 − 112W
Apr 20, 2025vs MIA121 − 100W
Apr 13, 2025vs IND118 − 126L

NY · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L
May 25, 2025at IND106 − 100W
May 23, 2025vs IND109 − 114L
May 21, 2025vs IND135 − 138L
May 16, 2025vs BOS119 − 81W
May 14, 2025at BOS102 − 127L
May 12, 2025vs BOS121 − 113W
May 10, 2025vs BOS93 − 115L