bayesRatings

Pistons at Bulls

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final DET 111 – CHI 115
← NBA / Oct 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET19303032111
CHI35293021115
Team box
DET·CHI
43-97
field goals
39-87
7-24
3-pointers
11-30
18-26
free throws
26-32
46
rebounds
50
29
assists
29
10
turnovers
18
68
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Nikola VucevicCHI3328142
Cade CunninghamDET3423710
Matas BuzelisCHI342161
Isaiah StewartDET2520102
Josh GiddeyCHI2919511
Ronald Holland IIDET271943

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +23
DET +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 23 · DET 2lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 46%, CHI 54% · Updated Oct 22, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 1.0
Expected score
CHI 118.9 – 117.9 DET
Expected total
236.8
PistonsThe matchupBulls
+119Our fair odds−119
117.9Expected points118.9
−0.04Power rating−0.10
0−0Season record0−0
3−7Last 107−3
Jaden IveyOutCoby White · Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · CHI chance
Our model fair45.8%54.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons+11946%————
CHIChicago Bulls−11954%————
SpreadCHI by 1.0
DETDetroit Pistons+1our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−1our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.8
Over236.8our total————
Under236.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 1.0 expected
Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%
← DET wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more43%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more29%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.8 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.569%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.531%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·CHI
May 1, 2025 vs NY
last game
Apr 13, 2025 at PHI
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 21, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementDoubtful
DETCaris LeVert · right knee; sorenessProbable
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
DET·CHI
−0.04
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
3−7
last 10
7−3

Rating Trend

DET · CHI · 2 days
Detroit PistonsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 5−5
Feb 12, 2025at CHIDET 128 − 110
Feb 11, 2025at CHIDET 132 − 92
Feb 2, 2025at DETDET 127 − 119
Nov 18, 2024at DETCHI 122 − 112
Apr 11, 2024at DETCHI 127 − 105
Feb 27, 2024at CHIDET 105 − 95
Nov 12, 2023at CHICHI 119 − 108
Oct 28, 2023at DETDET 118 − 102
Apr 9, 2023at CHICHI 103 − 81
Mar 1, 2023at DETCHI 117 − 115

DET · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W
Apr 27, 2025vs NY93 − 94L
Apr 24, 2025vs NY116 − 118L
Apr 21, 2025at NY100 − 94W
Apr 19, 2025at NY112 − 123L
Apr 13, 2025at MIL133 − 140L
Apr 11, 2025vs MIL119 − 125L
Apr 10, 2025vs NY115 − 106W
Apr 7, 2025vs SAC117 − 127L

CHI · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Apr 13, 2025at PHI122 − 102W
Apr 11, 2025vs WSH119 − 89W
Apr 9, 2025vs MIA119 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at CLE113 − 135L
Apr 6, 2025at CHA131 − 117W
Apr 4, 2025vs POR118 − 113W
Apr 1, 2025vs TOR137 − 118W
Mar 31, 2025at OKC117 − 145L
Mar 29, 2025vs DAL119 − 120L
Mar 27, 2025vs LAL119 − 117W