bayesRatings

Clippers at Jazz

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 22 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final LAC 108 – UTAH 129
← NBA / Oct 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC19283328108
UTAH43353021129
Team box
LAC·UTAH
39-88
field goals
48-87
14-45
3-pointers
17-44
16-21
free throws
16-20
38
rebounds
46
28
assists
38
15
turnovers
13
46
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Walker KesslerUTAH292294
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH332065
Brice SensabaughUTAH232042
Ivica ZubacLAC271973
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH301629
James HardenLAC2915211

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +37
LAC +37
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 37 · LAC 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 78%, UTAH 22% · Updated Oct 22, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 11.7
Expected score
LAC 120.6 – 109.0 UTAH
Expected total
229.6
ClippersThe matchupJazz
−365Our fair odds+365
120.6Expected points109.0
+0.52Power rating−1.03
0−0Season record0−0
6−4Last 101−9
Jahmyl Telfort · Jordan MillerOut (2 each)Georges Niang · Isaiah Collier

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair78.5%21.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−36578%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+36522%————
SpreadLAC by 11.7
LACLA Clippers−11.7our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+11.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.6
Over229.6our total————
Under229.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 11.7 expected
LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: 1%LA Clippers by 38 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 4%LA Clippers by 9 points: 4%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%
← LAC wins byUTAH wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more73%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more57%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.6 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GBradley Bealstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
CWalker Kesslerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·UTAH
May 3, 2025 at DEN
last game
Apr 13, 2025 at MIN
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 22, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; sorenessOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · right hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
LAC·UTAH
+0.52
rating (0 = average)
−1.03
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
6−4
last 10
1−9

Rating Trend

LAC · UTAH · 2 days
LA ClippersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 4−6
Feb 13, 2025at UTAHLAC 120 − 116
Feb 8, 2025at LACLAC 130 − 110
Dec 16, 2024at LACLAC 144 − 107
Nov 17, 2024at LACLAC 116 − 105
Apr 12, 2024at LACUTAH 110 − 109
Apr 5, 2024at LACLAC 131 − 102
Dec 8, 2023at UTAHLAC 117 − 103
Oct 27, 2023at UTAHUTAH 120 − 118
Jan 18, 2023at UTAHUTAH 126 − 103
Nov 30, 2022at UTAHUTAH 125 − 112

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
May 3, 2025at DEN101 − 120L
May 1, 2025vs DEN111 − 105W
Apr 29, 2025at DEN115 − 131L
Apr 26, 2025vs DEN99 − 101L
Apr 24, 2025vs DEN117 − 83W
Apr 21, 2025at DEN105 − 102W
Apr 19, 2025at DEN110 − 112L
Apr 13, 2025at GS124 − 119W
Apr 11, 2025at SAC101 − 100W
Apr 9, 2025vs HOU134 − 117W

UTAH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Apr 13, 2025at MIN105 − 116L
Apr 11, 2025vs OKC111 − 145L
Apr 9, 2025vs POR133 − 126W
Apr 6, 2025at ATL134 − 147L
Apr 4, 2025at IND112 − 140L
Apr 2, 2025at HOU105 − 143L
Mar 31, 2025at CHA106 − 110L
Mar 28, 2025at DEN93 − 129L
Mar 27, 2025vs HOU110 − 121L
Mar 25, 2025vs MEM103 − 140L