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Kings at Suns

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 22 · 9:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final SAC 116 – PHX 120
← NBA / Oct 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC29422124116
PHX19353630120
Team box
SAC·PHX
47-94
field goals
45-95
9-24
3-pointers
10-34
13-23
free throws
20-28
37
rebounds
51
24
assists
23
13
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX363153
Zach LaVineSAC353021
DeMar DeRozanSAC372969
Dillon BrooksPHX342243
Malik MonkSAC271912
Grayson AllenPHX361857

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +20
SAC +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 9 · SAC 20lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 50%, PHX 50% · Updated Oct 22, 2025

Expected margin
SAC by 0.6
Expected score
SAC 117.3 – 116.8 PHX
Expected total
234.1
KingsThe matchupSuns
+101Our fair odds−101
117.3Expected points116.8
+0.06Power rating−0.17
0−0Season record0−0
5−5Last 101−9
Domantas Sabonis · Isaac Jones
Keegan MurrayOutJalen Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · PHX chance
Our model fair49.9%50.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+10150%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−10150%————
SpreadSAC by 0.6
SACSacramento Kings−0.6our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.1
Over234.1our total————
Under234.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 0.6 expected
Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%
← SAC wins byPHX wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more41%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more28%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.1 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.529%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FDrew Eubanksstarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GDevin Bookerstarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
FOso Ighodarostarted
FRyan Dunnstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·PHX
Apr 13, 2025 vs PHX
last game
Apr 13, 2025 at SAC
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 22, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDomantas Sabonis · right hamstring; strainOut
SACIsaac Jones · reconditioning n/a; illnessOut
SACKeegan Murray · left thumb; ucl recoveryOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXGrayson Allen · left hip; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
SAC·PHX
+0.06
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
5−5
last 10
1−9

Rating Trend

SAC · PHX · 2 days
Sacramento KingsPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 4−6
Apr 13, 2025at SACSAC 109 − 98
Mar 14, 2025at PHXPHX 122 − 106
Nov 13, 2024at SACSAC 127 − 104
Nov 10, 2024at PHXSAC 127 − 118
Apr 12, 2024at SACPHX 108 − 107
Feb 13, 2024at PHXPHX 130 − 125
Jan 16, 2024at PHXPHX 119 − 117
Dec 22, 2023at SACSAC 120 − 105
Dec 8, 2023at PHXSAC 114 − 106
Mar 24, 2023at SACSAC 135 − 127

SAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Apr 13, 2025vs PHX109 − 98W
Apr 11, 2025vs LAC100 − 101L
Apr 9, 2025vs DEN116 − 124L
Apr 7, 2025at DET127 − 117W
Apr 6, 2025at CLE120 − 113W
Apr 4, 2025at CHA125 − 102W
Apr 2, 2025at WSH111 − 116L
Mar 31, 2025at IND109 − 111L
Mar 29, 2025at ORL91 − 121L
Mar 27, 2025vs POR128 − 107W

PHX · Last 10

1−9 · streak L1
Apr 13, 2025at SAC98 − 109L
Apr 11, 2025vs SA117 − 98W
Apr 9, 2025vs OKC112 − 125L
Apr 8, 2025vs GS95 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025at NY98 − 112L
Apr 4, 2025at BOS103 − 123L
Apr 1, 2025at MIL123 − 133L
Mar 30, 2025vs HOU109 − 148L
Mar 28, 2025at MIN109 − 124L
Mar 26, 2025vs BOS102 − 132L