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Wizards at Bucks

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM CT · Fiserv Forum · Final WSH 120 – MIL 133
← NBA / Oct 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH23303730120
MIL40322932133
Team box
WSH·MIL
46-98
field goals
50-98
17-42
3-pointers
18-44
11-19
free throws
15-19
56
rebounds
46
23
assists
31
13
turnovers
8
44
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL2737145
Khris MiddletonWSH292363
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH322194
Gary Trent Jr.MIL241742
Tre JohnsonWSH261652
Cam WhitmoreWSH191451

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIL +22
WSH +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIL 22 · WSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 14%, MIL 86% · Updated Oct 22, 2025

Expected margin
MIL by 14.6
Expected score
MIL 123.6 – 109.0 WSH
Expected total
232.7
WizardsThe matchupBucks
+634Our fair odds−634
109.0Expected points123.6
−1.36Power rating+0.28
0−0Season record0−0
2−8Last 106−4
Bilal CoulibalyOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · MIL chance
Our model fair13.6%86.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+63414%————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−63486%————
SpreadMIL by 14.6
WSHWashington Wizards+14.6our margin————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−14.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.7
Over232.7our total————
Under232.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 14.6 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 46 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 47 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 48 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 49 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 50 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 51 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 52 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byMIL wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more77%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more64%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more49%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

232.7 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.550%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Milwaukee Bucks
GGary Trent Jr.started
GKevin Porter Jr.started
GAJ Greenstarted
FGiannis Antetokounmpostarted
CMyles Turnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·MIL
Apr 13, 2025 at MIA
last game
Apr 29, 2025 at IND
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 22, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right hand; surgeryOut
Milwaukee Bucks
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · lower back; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
WSH·MIL
−1.36
rating (0 = average)
+0.28
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
2−8
last 10
6−4

Rating Trend

WSH · MIL · 2 days
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIL 8−2
Feb 21, 2025at WSHMIL 104 − 101
Dec 21, 2024at MILMIL 112 − 101
Nov 30, 2024at MILMIL 124 − 114
Apr 2, 2024at WSHWSH 117 − 113
Nov 24, 2023at MILMIL 131 − 128
Nov 20, 2023at WSHMIL 142 − 129
Apr 4, 2023at WSHMIL 140 − 128
Mar 5, 2023at WSHMIL 117 − 111
Jan 3, 2023at MILMIL 123 − 113
Jan 1, 2023at MILWSH 118 − 95

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Apr 13, 2025at MIA119 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at CHI89 − 119L
Apr 9, 2025vs PHI103 − 122L
Apr 8, 2025at IND98 − 104L
Apr 6, 2025at BOS90 − 124L
Apr 3, 2025vs ORL97 − 109L
Apr 2, 2025vs SAC116 − 111W
Mar 31, 2025vs MIA94 − 120L
Mar 29, 2025vs BKN112 − 115L
Mar 27, 2025vs IND109 − 162L

MIL · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Apr 29, 2025at IND118 − 119L
Apr 27, 2025vs IND103 − 129L
Apr 25, 2025vs IND117 − 101W
Apr 22, 2025at IND115 − 123L
Apr 19, 2025at IND98 − 117L
Apr 13, 2025vs DET140 − 133W
Apr 11, 2025at DET125 − 119W
Apr 10, 2025vs NO136 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025vs MIN110 − 103W
Apr 6, 2025at NO111 − 107W