bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Predators

NHL · Thursday, Oct 9 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final CBJ 1 – NSH 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ1001
NSH1012
Team box
CBJ·NSH
39
shots
32
0 of 1
power play
1 of 4
48.4
faceoff %
51.6
28
hits
22
15
blocked shots
19
10
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ3230.938
Juuse SarosNSH3938.974

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 1 · CBJ 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 49%, NSH 51% · Updated Oct 9, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.2 – 3.2 NSH
Expected total
6.4
Blue JacketsThe matchupPredators
+106Our fair odds−106
3.2Expected goals3.2
−0.06Power rating−0.29
0−0Season record0−0
7−3Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · NSH chance
Our model fair48.6%51.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+10649%————
NSHNashville Predators−10651%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.1our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.4
Over6.4our total————
Under6.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 6%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 12%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 17%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 24%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 10%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byNSH wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more32%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more22%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.4 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 11%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.559%
Total over 6.548%
Total over 7.529%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .975 save %, 0.80 GAAstarted
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .873 save %, 4.04 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·NSH
Apr 17, 2025 vs NYI
last game
Apr 16, 2025 vs DAL
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
CBJ·NSH
−0.06
rating (0 = average)
−0.29
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
7−3
last 10
3−7

Rating Trend

CBJ · NSH · 3 days
Columbus Blue JacketsNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NSH 5−3
Apr 1, 2025at CBJCBJ 8 − 4
Oct 26, 2024at NSHNSH 4 − 3 OT
Apr 13, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 4
Mar 9, 2024at CBJNSH 2 − 1
Jan 17, 2023at NSHNSH 2 − 1
Oct 20, 2022at CBJCBJ 5 − 3
Dec 30, 2021at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 SO
Nov 30, 2021at NSHNSH 6 − 0

CBJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak W6
Apr 17, 2025vs NYI6 − 1W
Apr 15, 2025at PHI3 − 0W
Apr 13, 2025at WSH4 − 1W
Apr 12, 2025vs WSH7 − 0W
Apr 10, 2025vs BUF3 − 2W
Apr 8, 2025vs OTT5 − 2W
Apr 6, 2025at OTT0 − 4L
Apr 5, 2025at TOR0 − 5L
Apr 3, 2025vs COL3 − 7L
Apr 1, 2025vs NSH8 − 4W

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Apr 16, 2025vs DAL5 − 1W
Apr 14, 2025vs UTAH3 − 7L
Apr 12, 2025at VGK3 − 5L
Apr 10, 2025at UTAH4 − 3W
Apr 8, 2025vs NYI7 − 6W
Apr 6, 2025vs MTL1 − 2L
Apr 3, 2025at DAL1 − 5L
Apr 1, 2025at CBJ4 − 8L
Mar 31, 2025at PHI1 − 2L
Mar 29, 2025vs VGK1 − 3L