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Timberwolves at Trail Blazers

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 22 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final MIN 118 – POR 114
← NBA / Oct 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN33243130118
POR35263419114
Team box
MIN·POR
42-86
field goals
36-90
15-30
3-pointers
13-42
19-24
free throws
29-35
45
rebounds
39
21
assists
25
19
turnovers
16
40
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony EdwardsMIN394171
Jerami GrantPOR282931
Deni AvdijaPOR332071
Julius RandleMIN371976
Jaden McDanielsMIN291852
Shaedon SharpePOR291524

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +8
MIN +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 8 · MIN 4lead changes: 17

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 68%, POR 32% · Updated Oct 22, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 6.2
Expected score
MIN 112.5 – 106.3 POR
Expected total
218.8
TimberwolvesThe matchupTrail Blazers
−217Our fair odds+217
112.5Expected points106.3
+0.68Power rating−0.34
0−0Season record0−0
5−5Last 104−6
—OutDamian Lillard · Robert Williams III
Scoot Henderson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · POR chance
Our model fair68.4%31.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−21768%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+21732%————
SpreadMIN by 6.2
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−6.2our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+6.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 218.8
Over218.8our total————
Under218.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 6.2 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%
← MIN wins byPOR wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more57%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more41%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.8 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.570%
Total over 218.550%
Total over 228.531%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·POR
May 28, 2025 at OKC
last game
Apr 13, 2025 vs LAL
first game in 30+ days
days of rest
first game in 30+ days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
season opener, road
home / road
season opener, home

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 22, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINAnthony Edwards · back; low back spasmsQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury recoveryOut
PORRobert Williams III · return to competitionOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season
MIN·POR
+0.68
rating (0 = average)
−0.34
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
5−5
last 10
4−6

Rating Trend

MIN · POR · 2 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 3−7
Feb 8, 2025at MINMIN 114 − 98
Nov 13, 2024at PORPOR 106 − 98
Nov 12, 2024at PORPOR 122 − 108
Nov 8, 2024at MINMIN 127 − 102
Mar 4, 2024at MINMIN 119 − 114
Feb 15, 2024at PORMIN 128 − 91
Feb 13, 2024at PORMIN 121 − 109
Jan 12, 2024at MINMIN 116 − 93
Apr 2, 2023at MINPOR 107 − 105
Jan 4, 2023at MINMIN 113 − 106

MIN · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
May 28, 2025at OKC94 − 124L
May 26, 2025vs OKC126 − 128L
May 24, 2025vs OKC143 − 101W
May 22, 2025at OKC103 − 118L
May 20, 2025at OKC88 − 114L
May 14, 2025vs GS121 − 110W
May 12, 2025at GS117 − 110W
May 10, 2025at GS102 − 97W
May 8, 2025vs GS117 − 93W
May 6, 2025vs GS88 − 99L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Apr 13, 2025vs LAL109 − 81W
Apr 11, 2025vs GS86 − 103L
Apr 9, 2025at UTAH126 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025vs SA120 − 109W
Apr 4, 2025at CHI113 − 118L
Apr 3, 2025at TOR112 − 103W
Apr 1, 2025at ATL127 − 113W
Mar 30, 2025at NY93 − 110L
Mar 27, 2025at SAC107 − 128L
Mar 25, 2025vs CLE111 − 122L