bayesRatings

Devils at Blue Jackets

NHL · Monday, Oct 13 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final NJ 3 – CBJ 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NJ1113
CBJ0112
Team box
NJ·CBJ
28
shots
33
2 of 2
power play
0 of 5
41.8
faceoff %
58.2
15
hits
18
18
blocked shots
12
10
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jacob MarkstromNJ98.889
Jake AllenNJ2423.958
Jet GreavesCBJ2725.926

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
NJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CBJ 0 · NJ 2lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NJ 44%, CBJ 56% · Updated Oct 13, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.4 – 3.0 NJ
Expected total
6.4
DevilsThe matchupBlue Jackets
+129Our fair odds−129
3.0Expected goals3.4
−0.04Power rating−0.06
4.0Goals / game4.0
4.5Allowed / game3.0
26.5Shots / game35.5
52.2Faceoff %55.2
26.0Hits / game22.0
1−1Season record1−1
3−7Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NJ chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair43.6%56.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NJNew Jersey Devils+12944%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−12956%————
Spreadabout even
NJNew Jersey Devils+0.4our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.4
Over6.4our total————
Under6.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: <1%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 1%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 4%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 9%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 8%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 22%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 13%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%
← NJ wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more35%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more24%
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more24%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.4 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 11%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.559%
Total over 6.548%
Total over 7.529%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NJJake Allen G · last 5 starts: .893 save %, 3.03 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .974 save %, 0.80 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NJ·CBJ
Oct 11, 2025 at TB
last game
Oct 11, 2025 at MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
NJ·CBJ
−0.04
rating (0 = average)
−0.06
4.0
goals / game
4.0
4.5
goals allowed / game
3.0
1−1
season record
1−1
0−0
home record
0−0
1−1
away record
1−1
W1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
7−3
26.5
shots / game
35.5
52.2
faceoff %
55.2
26.0
hits / game
22.0
21.5
blocked shots / game
15.5
5.0
takeaways / game
5.5
21.0
giveaways / game
14.5

Rating Trend

NJ · CBJ · 6 days
New Jersey DevilsColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CBJ 2−8
Mar 17, 2025at CBJNJ 2 − 1
Mar 11, 2025at NJNJ 5 − 3
Dec 19, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 2
Jan 19, 2024at CBJNJ 4 − 1
Dec 27, 2023at NJNJ 4 − 3 OT
Dec 16, 2023at CBJNJ 6 − 3
Nov 24, 2023at NJCBJ 2 − 1
Apr 6, 2023at NJNJ 8 − 1
Feb 14, 2023at CBJNJ 3 − 2
Oct 30, 2022at NJNJ 7 − 1

NJ · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 11, 2025at TB5 − 3W
Oct 9, 2025at CAR3 − 6L
Apr 29, 2025at CAR4 − 5L
Apr 27, 2025vs CAR2 − 5L
Apr 25, 2025vs CAR3 − 2W
Apr 22, 2025at CAR1 − 3L
Apr 20, 2025at CAR1 − 4L
Apr 16, 2025vs DET2 − 5L
Apr 15, 2025at BOS5 − 4W
Apr 13, 2025vs NYI0 − 1L

CBJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 11, 2025at MIN7 − 4W
Oct 9, 2025at NSH1 − 2L
Apr 17, 2025vs NYI6 − 1W
Apr 15, 2025at PHI3 − 0W
Apr 13, 2025at WSH4 − 1W
Apr 12, 2025vs WSH7 − 0W
Apr 10, 2025vs BUF3 − 2W
Apr 8, 2025vs OTT5 − 2W
Apr 6, 2025at OTT0 − 4L
Apr 5, 2025at TOR0 − 5L