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Celtics at Knicks

NBA · Friday, Oct 24 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final BOS 95 – NY 105
← NBA / Oct 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS3014213095
NY22421823105
Team box
BOS·NY
35-82
field goals
33-86
15-44
3-pointers
17-45
10-15
free throws
22-25
37
rebounds
53
19
assists
23
16
turnovers
20
36
points in paint
30
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY353135
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3326133
Jaylen BrownBOS352343
Sam HauserBOS281830
Derrick WhiteBOS331544
Mikal BridgesNY361262

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +24
BOS +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 24 · BOS 8lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 58%, NY 42% · Updated Oct 24, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 1.6
Expected score
BOS 109.6 – 108.0 NY
Expected total
217.7
CelticsThe matchupKnicks
−139Our fair odds+139
109.6Expected points108.0
+1.01Power rating+0.44
116.0Points / game119.0
117.0Allowed / game111.0
45.0FG%43.0
26.03P%35.0
42.0Rebounds / game48.0
0−1Season record1−0
4−6Last 105−5
Jayson Tatum · Luka GarzaOutMitchell Robinson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · NY chance
Our model fair58.2%41.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−13958%————
NYNew York Knicks+13942%————
SpreadBOS by 1.6
BOSBoston Celtics−1.6our margin————
NYNew York Knicks+1.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 217.7
Over217.7our total————
Under217.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 1.6 expected
Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%
← BOS wins byNY wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more44%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more30%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

217.7 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 207.570%
Total over 217.550%
Total over 227.530%
Total from 208 to 22739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
GMiles McBridestarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·NY
Oct 22, 2025 vs PHI
last game
Oct 22, 2025 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 23, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSLuka Garza · concussion; concussion protocolOut
New York Knicks
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYJosh Hart · lower back; lumbar spasmsQuestionable
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · right quad; strainQuestionable
NYOG Anunoby · left ankle; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 1+ games
BOS·NY
+1.01
rating (0 = average)
+0.44
116.0
points / game
119.0
117.0
points allowed / game
111.0
0−1
season record
1−0
0−1
home record
1−0
0−0
away record
0−0
L1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
45.0
FG%
43.0
26.0
3P%
35.0
42.0
rebounds / game
48.0
16.0
assists / game
22.0
9.0
turnovers / game
14.0
48.0
points in paint / game
42.0

Rating Trend

BOS · NY · 4 days
Boston CelticsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 4−6
May 16, 2025at NYNY 119 − 81post
May 14, 2025at BOSBOS 127 − 102post
May 12, 2025at NYNY 121 − 113post
May 10, 2025at NYBOS 115 − 93post
May 7, 2025at BOSNY 91 − 90post
May 5, 2025at BOSNY 108 − 105post
Apr 8, 2025at NYBOS 119 − 117
Feb 23, 2025at BOSBOS 118 − 105
Feb 8, 2025at NYBOS 131 − 104
Oct 22, 2024at BOSBOS 132 − 109

BOS · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Oct 22, 2025vs PHI116 − 117L
May 16, 2025at NY81 − 119L
May 14, 2025vs NY127 − 102W
May 12, 2025at NY113 − 121L
May 10, 2025at NY115 − 93W
May 7, 2025vs NY90 − 91L
May 5, 2025vs NY105 − 108L
Apr 29, 2025vs ORL120 − 89W
Apr 27, 2025at ORL107 − 98W
Apr 25, 2025at ORL93 − 95L

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L
May 25, 2025at IND106 − 100W
May 23, 2025vs IND109 − 114L
May 21, 2025vs IND135 − 138L
May 16, 2025vs BOS119 − 81W
May 14, 2025at BOS102 − 127L
May 12, 2025vs BOS121 − 113W