Final · our forecast was CLE 80%, BKN 20% · Updated Oct 24, 2025
Expected margin
CLE by 11.7
Expected score
CLE 116.3 – 104.6 BKN
Expected total
220.9
CavaliersThe matchupNets
−398Our fair odds+398
116.3Expected points104.6
+0.87Power rating−0.76
111.0Points / game117.0
119.0Allowed / game136.0
47.0FG%44.0
41.03P%35.0
32.0Rebounds / game38.0
0−1Season record0−1
5−5Last 103−7
Darius Garland · Max StrusOutDanny Wolf · Drake Powell Haywood Highsmith
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · BKN chance
Our model fair79.9%20.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshi
Polymarket US
ProphetX
Novig
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers
−39880%
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BKNBrooklyn Nets
+39820%
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SpreadCLE by 11.7
CLECleveland Cavaliers
−11.7our margin
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BKNBrooklyn Nets
+11.7our margin
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Totalwe expect 220.9
Over
220.9our total
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Under
220.9our total
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These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.7 expected
40302010010203040
← CLE wins byBKN wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more73%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more57%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way17%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
220.9 expected
180200220240260
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.531%
Total from 211 to 23039%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.