bayesRatings

Cavaliers at Nets

NBA · Friday, Oct 24 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final CLE 131 – BKN 124

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE34294523131
BKN23283538124
Team box
CLE·BKN
44-82
field goals
49-96
18-42
3-pointers
19-45
25-35
free throws
7-7
36
rebounds
38
32
assists
30
17
turnovers
20
48
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE353525
Cam ThomasBKN353329
Michael Porter Jr.BKN363183
Ziaire WilliamsBKN272520
Jarrett AllenCLE302274
Sam MerrillCLE262215

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +25
CLE +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 0 · CLE 25lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 80%, BKN 20% · Updated Oct 24, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 11.7
Expected score
CLE 116.3 – 104.6 BKN
Expected total
220.9
CavaliersThe matchupNets
−398Our fair odds+398
116.3Expected points104.6
+0.87Power rating−0.76
111.0Points / game117.0
119.0Allowed / game136.0
47.0FG%44.0
41.03P%35.0
32.0Rebounds / game38.0
0−1Season record0−1
5−5Last 103−7
Darius Garland · Max StrusOutDanny Wolf · Drake Powell
Haywood Highsmith

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · BKN chance
Our model fair79.9%20.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−39880%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+39820%————
SpreadCLE by 11.7
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.7our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+11.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.9
Over220.9our total————
Under220.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.7 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%
← CLE wins byBKN wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more73%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more57%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.531%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GCam Thomasstarted
GBen Sarafstarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·BKN
Oct 22, 2025 at NY
last game
Oct 22, 2025 at CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 23, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgeryOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEDe'Andre Hunter · right knee; contusionQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNDrake Powell · right ankle; sprainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 1+ games
CLE·BKN
+0.87
rating (0 = average)
−0.76
111.0
points / game
117.0
119.0
points allowed / game
136.0
0−1
season record
0−1
0−0
home record
0−0
0−1
away record
0−1
L1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
3−7
47.0
FG%
44.0
41.0
3P%
35.0
32.0
rebounds / game
38.0
21.0
assists / game
25.0
15.0
turnovers / game
17.0
30.0
points in paint / game
46.0

Rating Trend

CLE · BKN · 4 days
Cleveland CavaliersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 1−9
Mar 11, 2025at CLECLE 109 − 104
Feb 20, 2025at BKNCLE 110 − 97
Dec 16, 2024at BKNCLE 130 − 101
Nov 9, 2024at CLECLE 105 − 100
Mar 10, 2024at CLEBKN 120 − 101
Feb 8, 2024at BKNCLE 118 − 95
Jan 11, 2024at CLECLE 111 − 102
Oct 25, 2023at BKNCLE 114 − 113
Mar 23, 2023at BKNCLE 116 − 114
Mar 21, 2023at BKNCLE 115 − 109

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W
May 6, 2025vs IND119 − 120L
May 4, 2025vs IND112 − 121L
Apr 28, 2025at MIA138 − 83W
Apr 26, 2025at MIA124 − 87W
Apr 23, 2025vs MIA121 − 112W
Apr 20, 2025vs MIA121 − 100W

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Oct 22, 2025at CHA117 − 136L
Apr 13, 2025vs NY105 − 113L
Apr 11, 2025at MIN91 − 117L
Apr 10, 2025vs ATL109 − 133L
Apr 8, 2025vs NO119 − 114W
Apr 6, 2025vs TOR109 − 120L
Apr 3, 2025vs MIN90 − 105L
Mar 31, 2025at DAL113 − 109W
Mar 29, 2025at WSH115 − 112W
Mar 28, 2025vs LAC100 − 132L