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Suns at Clippers

NBA · Friday, Oct 24 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final PHX 102 – LAC 129
← NBA / Oct 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX33232125102
LAC34383423129
Team box
PHX·LAC
37-90
field goals
45-76
16-47
3-pointers
16-29
12-15
free throws
23-26
37
rebounds
45
23
assists
32
18
turnovers
19
34
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC283077
Kawhi LeonardLAC332755
Dillon BrooksPHX272132
Devin BookerPHX281837
Derrick Jones Jr.LAC231742
Kris DunnLAC211421

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +32
PHX +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 32 · PHX 9lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 29%, LAC 71% · Updated Oct 24, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 8.3
Expected score
LAC 117.0 – 108.7 PHX
Expected total
225.7
SunsThe matchupClippers
+248Our fair odds−248
108.7Expected points117.0
−0.17Power rating+0.52
120.0Points / game108.0
116.0Allowed / game129.0
47.0FG%44.0
29.03P%31.0
51.0Rebounds / game38.0
1−0Season record0−1
2−8Last 105−5
Jalen GreenOutJahmyl Telfort · Jordan Miller

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · LAC chance
Our model fair28.8%71.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+24829%————
LACLA Clippers−24871%————
SpreadLAC by 8.3
PHXPhoenix Suns+8.3our margin————
LACLA Clippers−8.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.7
Over225.7our total————
Under225.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 8.3 expected
Phoenix Suns by 51 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 50 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 49 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%
← PHX wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more62%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more47%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.7 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GDevin Bookerstarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
FOso Ighodarostarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GBradley Bealstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·LAC
Oct 22, 2025 vs SAC
last game
Oct 22, 2025 at UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
LA Clippers
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 1+ games
PHX·LAC
−0.17
rating (0 = average)
+0.52
120.0
points / game
108.0
116.0
points allowed / game
129.0
1−0
season record
0−1
1−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−1
W1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
5−5
47.0
FG%
44.0
29.0
3P%
31.0
51.0
rebounds / game
38.0
23.0
assists / game
28.0
16.0
turnovers / game
15.0
64.0
points in paint / game
46.0

Rating Trend

PHX · LAC · 4 days
Phoenix SunsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 3−7
Mar 4, 2025at PHXPHX 119 − 117
Jan 27, 2025at PHXPHX 111 − 109
Oct 31, 2024at LACPHX 125 − 119
Oct 23, 2024at LACPHX 116 − 113
Apr 10, 2024at LACPHX 124 − 108
Apr 9, 2024at PHXLAC 105 − 92
Jan 8, 2024at LACLAC 138 − 111
Jan 3, 2024at PHXLAC 131 − 122
Apr 25, 2023at PHXPHX 136 − 130post
Apr 22, 2023at LACPHX 112 − 100post

PHX · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 22, 2025vs SAC120 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025at SAC98 − 109L
Apr 11, 2025vs SA117 − 98W
Apr 9, 2025vs OKC112 − 125L
Apr 8, 2025vs GS95 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025at NY98 − 112L
Apr 4, 2025at BOS103 − 123L
Apr 1, 2025at MIL123 − 133L
Mar 30, 2025vs HOU109 − 148L
Mar 28, 2025at MIN109 − 124L

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Oct 22, 2025at UTAH108 − 129L
May 3, 2025at DEN101 − 120L
May 1, 2025vs DEN111 − 105W
Apr 29, 2025at DEN115 − 131L
Apr 26, 2025vs DEN99 − 101L
Apr 24, 2025vs DEN117 − 83W
Apr 21, 2025at DEN105 − 102W
Apr 19, 2025at DEN110 − 112L
Apr 13, 2025at GS124 − 119W
Apr 11, 2025at SAC101 − 100W