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Jazz at Kings

NBA · Friday, Oct 24 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final UTAH 104 – SAC 105
← NBA / Oct 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH24223028104
SAC31182927105
Team box
UTAH·SAC
38-86
field goals
40-83
13-41
3-pointers
14-32
15-17
free throws
11-15
50
rebounds
33
25
assists
23
20
turnovers
13
48
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH363341
Zach LaVineSAC373121
Malik MonkSAC212013
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH3418210
Dennis SchroderSAC331753
Brice SensabaughUTAH221541

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +8
UTAH +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 8 · UTAH 6lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 21%, SAC 79% · Updated Oct 24, 2025

Expected margin
SAC by 10.2
Expected score
SAC 124.4 – 114.2 UTAH
Expected total
238.7
JazzThe matchupKings
+370Our fair odds−370
114.2Expected points124.4
−1.03Power rating+0.06
129.0Points / game116.0
108.0Allowed / game120.0
55.0FG%50.0
39.03P%38.0
46.0Rebounds / game37.0
1−0Season record0−1
2−8Last 104−6
Georges Niang · Isaiah CollierOut (2 each)Keegan Murray · Nique Clifford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · SAC chance
Our model fair21.3%78.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+37021%————
SACSacramento Kings−37079%————
SpreadSAC by 10.2
UTAHUtah Jazz+10.2our margin————
SACSacramento Kings−10.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 238.7
Over238.7our total————
Under238.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 10.2 expected
Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%
← UTAH wins bySAC wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more67%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more52%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

238.7 expected
189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 228.568%
Total over 238.549%
Total over 248.531%
Total from 229 to 24837%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
CWalker Kesslerstarted
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDomantas Sabonisstarted
CIsaac Jonesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·SAC
Oct 22, 2025 vs LAC
last game
Oct 22, 2025 at PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · right hamstring; strainOut
Sacramento Kings
SACKeegan Murray · left thumb; ucl injury recoveryOut
SACNique Clifford · right hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 1+ games
UTAH·SAC
−1.03
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
129.0
points / game
116.0
108.0
points allowed / game
120.0
1−0
season record
0−1
1−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−1
W1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
4−6
55.0
FG%
50.0
39.0
3P%
38.0
46.0
rebounds / game
37.0
38.0
assists / game
24.0
13.0
turnovers / game
13.0
58.0
points in paint / game
54.0

Rating Trend

UTAH · SAC · 4 days
Utah JazzSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 9−1
Feb 26, 2025at UTAHSAC 118 − 101
Dec 8, 2024at SACSAC 141 − 97
Nov 16, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 117
Oct 29, 2024at UTAHSAC 113 − 96
Mar 31, 2024at SACSAC 127 − 106
Dec 16, 2023at SACSAC 125 − 104
Oct 25, 2023at UTAHSAC 130 − 114
Mar 25, 2023at SACSAC 121 − 113
Mar 20, 2023at UTAHUTAH 128 − 120
Jan 3, 2023at UTAHSAC 117 − 115

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 22, 2025vs LAC129 − 108W
Apr 13, 2025at MIN105 − 116L
Apr 11, 2025vs OKC111 − 145L
Apr 9, 2025vs POR133 − 126W
Apr 6, 2025at ATL134 − 147L
Apr 4, 2025at IND112 − 140L
Apr 2, 2025at HOU105 − 143L
Mar 31, 2025at CHA106 − 110L
Mar 28, 2025at DEN93 − 129L
Mar 27, 2025vs HOU110 − 121L

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 22, 2025at PHX116 − 120L
Apr 13, 2025vs PHX109 − 98W
Apr 11, 2025vs LAC100 − 101L
Apr 9, 2025vs DEN116 − 124L
Apr 7, 2025at DET127 − 117W
Apr 6, 2025at CLE120 − 113W
Apr 4, 2025at CHA125 − 102W
Apr 2, 2025at WSH111 − 116L
Mar 31, 2025at IND109 − 111L
Mar 29, 2025at ORL91 − 121L