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Wizards at Mavericks

NBA · Friday, Oct 24 · 7:30 PM CT · American Airlines Center · Final WSH 117 – DAL 107
← NBA / Oct 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH28303326117
DAL35172629107
Team box
WSH·DAL
41-90
field goals
38-88
15-36
3-pointers
10-34
20-29
free throws
21-27
48
rebounds
48
27
assists
23
17
turnovers
21
40
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH3534114
Anthony DavisDAL3827134
Cooper FlaggDAL351856
P.J. WashingtonDAL391891
Tre JohnsonWSH261732
Alex SarrWSH261495

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DAL +17
WSH +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DAL 14 · WSH 17lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 17%, DAL 83% · Updated Oct 24, 2025

Expected margin
DAL by 11.8
Expected score
DAL 121.7 – 109.9 WSH
Expected total
231.6
WizardsThe matchupMavericks
+492Our fair odds−492
109.9Expected points121.7
−1.36Power rating+0.03
120.0Points / game92.0
133.0Allowed / game125.0
47.0FG%37.0
40.03P%43.0
56.0Rebounds / game37.0
0−1Season record0−1
2−8Last 104−6
Bilal CoulibalyOutDaniel Gafford · Dante Exum
Kyrie Irving

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · DAL chance
Our model fair16.9%83.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+49217%————
DALDallas Mavericks−49283%————
SpreadDAL by 11.8
WSHWashington Wizards+11.8our margin————
DALDallas Mavericks−11.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.6
Over231.6our total————
Under231.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Mavericks by 11.8 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 47 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 48 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 49 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 50 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 51 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 52 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byDAL wins by →
Dallas Mavericks wins by 5 or more71%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 10 or more56%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.6 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.549%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Dallas Mavericks
GKlay Thompsonstarted
FAnthony Davisstarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
CDereck Lively IIstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·DAL
Oct 22, 2025 at MIL
last game
Oct 22, 2025 vs SA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right hand; surgeryOut
Dallas Mavericks
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; sprainOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; injury managementOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 1+ games
WSH·DAL
−1.36
rating (0 = average)
+0.03
120.0
points / game
92.0
133.0
points allowed / game
125.0
0−1
season record
0−1
0−0
home record
0−1
0−1
away record
0−0
L1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
4−6
47.0
FG%
37.0
40.0
3P%
43.0
56.0
rebounds / game
37.0
23.0
assists / game
20.0
13.0
turnovers / game
16.0
44.0
points in paint / game
26.0

Rating Trend

WSH · DAL · 4 days
Washington WizardsDallas Mavericks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · DAL 4−4
Jan 27, 2025at DALDAL 130 − 108
Dec 5, 2024at WSHDAL 137 − 101
Feb 12, 2024at DALDAL 112 − 104
Nov 15, 2023at WSHDAL 130 − 117
Jan 24, 2023at DALWSH 127 − 126
Nov 10, 2022at WSHWSH 113 − 105
Apr 1, 2022at WSHWSH 135 − 103
Nov 27, 2021at DALWSH 120 − 114

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Oct 22, 2025at MIL120 − 133L
Apr 13, 2025at MIA119 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at CHI89 − 119L
Apr 9, 2025vs PHI103 − 122L
Apr 8, 2025at IND98 − 104L
Apr 6, 2025at BOS90 − 124L
Apr 3, 2025vs ORL97 − 109L
Apr 2, 2025vs SAC116 − 111W
Mar 31, 2025vs MIA94 − 120L
Mar 29, 2025vs BKN112 − 115L

DAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Oct 22, 2025vs SA92 − 125L
Apr 13, 2025at MEM97 − 132L
Apr 11, 2025vs TOR124 − 102W
Apr 9, 2025vs LAL97 − 112L
Apr 5, 2025at LAC104 − 135L
Apr 4, 2025at LAC91 − 114L
Apr 2, 2025vs ATL120 − 118W
Mar 31, 2025vs BKN109 − 113L
Mar 29, 2025at CHI120 − 119W
Mar 27, 2025at ORL101 − 92W