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Hornets at 76ers

NBA · Saturday, Oct 25 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final CHA 121 – PHI 125
← NBA / Oct 25, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA29293825121
PHI36252539125
Team box
CHA·PHI
43-89
field goals
41-87
16-42
3-pointers
18-39
19-28
free throws
25-32
45
rebounds
40
30
assists
29
17
turnovers
15
48
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI422869
LaMelo BallCHA3427108
Quentin GrimesPHI302434
Collin SextonCHA302127
Joel EmbiidPHI202024
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI371911

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +12
CHA +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 12 · CHA 11lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 31%, PHI 69% · Updated Oct 25, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 5.5
Expected score
PHI 112.3 – 106.8 CHA
Expected total
219.2
HornetsThe matchup76ers
+225Our fair odds−225
106.8Expected points112.3
−1.20Power rating−0.61
136.0Points / game117.0
117.0Allowed / game116.0
53.0FG%46.0
47.03P%39.0
50.0Rebounds / game40.0
1−0Season record1−0
2−8Last 102−8
Grant Williams · Josh GreenOutJared McCain · Paul George
Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · PHI chance
Our model fair30.8%69.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+22531%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−22569%————
SpreadPHI by 5.5
CHACharlotte Hornets+5.5our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−5.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.2
Over219.2our total————
Under219.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 5.5 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%
← CHA wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more55%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more40%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.2 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.549%
Total over 229.529%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GCollin Sextonstarted
GLaMelo Ballstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·PHI
Oct 22, 2025 vs BKN
last game
Oct 22, 2025 at BOS
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJared McCain · right thumb; surgery recoveryOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHITrendon Watford · left hamstring; tightnessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 1+ games
CHA·PHI
−1.20
rating (0 = average)
−0.61
136.0
points / game
117.0
117.0
points allowed / game
116.0
1−0
season record
1−0
1−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
1−0
W1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
2−8
53.0
FG%
46.0
47.0
3P%
39.0
50.0
rebounds / game
40.0
33.0
assists / game
23.0
17.0
turnovers / game
14.0
60.0
points in paint / game
36.0

Rating Trend

CHA · PHI · 5 days
Charlotte HornetsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 10−0
Dec 20, 2024at PHIPHI 108 − 98
Dec 16, 2024at CHAPHI 121 − 108
Dec 3, 2024at CHAPHI 110 − 104
Nov 10, 2024at PHIPHI 107 − 105
Mar 16, 2024at PHIPHI 109 − 98
Mar 1, 2024at PHIPHI 121 − 114
Jan 20, 2024at CHAPHI 97 − 89
Dec 16, 2023at CHAPHI 135 − 82
Mar 17, 2023at CHAPHI 121 − 82
Dec 11, 2022at PHIPHI 131 − 113

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 22, 2025vs BKN136 − 117W
Apr 13, 2025at BOS86 − 93L
Apr 11, 2025at BOS94 − 130L
Apr 9, 2025at TOR96 − 126L
Apr 8, 2025vs MEM100 − 124L
Apr 6, 2025vs CHI117 − 131L
Apr 4, 2025vs SAC102 − 125L
Apr 2, 2025at IND105 − 119L
Mar 31, 2025vs UTAH110 − 106W
Mar 30, 2025at NO94 − 98L

PHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025vs CHI102 − 122L
Apr 11, 2025vs ATL110 − 124L
Apr 9, 2025at WSH122 − 103W
Apr 7, 2025at MIA105 − 117L
Apr 5, 2025vs MIN109 − 114L
Apr 3, 2025vs MIL113 − 126L
Apr 1, 2025at NY91 − 105L
Mar 30, 2025vs TOR109 − 127L
Mar 29, 2025vs MIA95 − 118L