Final · our forecast was CHI 42%, ORL 58% · Updated Oct 25, 2025
Expected margin
ORL by 2.8
Expected score
ORL 110.8 – 107.9 CHI
Expected total
218.7
BullsThe matchupMagic
+138Our fair odds−138
107.9Expected points110.8
−0.10Power rating−0.01
115.0Points / game116.0
111.0Allowed / game116.0
45.0FG%47.0
37.03P%34.5
50.0Rebounds / game45.5
1−0Season record1−1
7−3Last 104−6
Coby White · Emanuel Miller Lachlan Olbrich · Trentyn Flowers Zach CollinsOutJalen Suggs · Moritz Wagner
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · ORL chance
Our model fair42.0%58.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshi
Polymarket US
ProphetX
Novig
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls
+13842%
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—
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ORLOrlando Magic
−13858%
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—
—
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SpreadORL by 2.8
CHIChicago Bulls
+2.8our margin
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ORLOrlando Magic
−2.8our margin
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Totalwe expect 218.7
Over
218.7our total
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—
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Under
218.7our total
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These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Orlando Magic by 2.8 expected
40302010010203040
← CHI wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more48%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more33%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
218.7 expected
180200220240260
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.570%
Total over 218.550%
Total over 228.530%
Total from 209 to 22839%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.