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Celtics at Pistons

NBA · Sunday, Oct 26 · 2:30 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final BOS 113 – DET 119
← NBA / Oct 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS33252332113
DET24363425119
Team box
BOS·DET
40-94
field goals
39-93
15-45
3-pointers
9-34
18-24
free throws
32-36
38
rebounds
55
17
assists
22
12
turnovers
16
40
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS354164
Cade CunninghamDET382538
Jalen DurenDET2824181
Ausar ThompsonDET3621123
Payton PritchardBOS3421104
Tobias HarrisDET351884

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +17
BOS +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 15 · BOS 17lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 69%, DET 31% · Updated Oct 26, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 5.7
Expected score
BOS 113.9 – 108.2 DET
Expected total
222.1
CelticsThe matchupPistons
−222Our fair odds+222
113.9Expected points108.2
+1.01Power rating−0.04
105.5Points / game113.0
111.0Allowed / game113.0
44.0FG%45.5
30.03P%35.0
39.5Rebounds / game47.0
0−2Season record1−1
4−6Last 103−7
Jayson Tatum · Max ShulgaOutCaris LeVert · Jaden Ivey
Marcus Sasser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · DET chance
Our model fair68.9%31.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−22269%————
DETDetroit Pistons+22231%————
SpreadBOS by 5.7
BOSBoston Celtics−5.7our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons+5.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.1
Over222.1our total————
Under222.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 5.7 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byDET wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more56%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more40%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.1 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.568%
Total over 222.549%
Total over 232.529%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GHugo Gonzalezstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·DET
Oct 24, 2025 at NY
last game
Oct 24, 2025 at HOU
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 26, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
Detroit Pistons
DETCaris LeVert · left hamstring; tightnessOut
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
BOS·DET
+1.01
rating (0 = average)
−0.04
105.5
points / game
113.0
111.0
points allowed / game
113.0
0−2
season record
1−1
0−1
home record
0−0
0−1
away record
1−1
L2
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
3−7
44.0
FG%
45.5
30.0
3P%
35.0
39.5
rebounds / game
47.0
17.5
assists / game
27.5
12.5
turnovers / game
14.0
42.0
points in paint / game
60.0

Rating Trend

BOS · DET · 6 days
Boston CelticsDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 1−9
Feb 26, 2025at DETDET 117 − 97
Dec 12, 2024at BOSBOS 123 − 99
Dec 4, 2024at BOSBOS 130 − 120
Oct 26, 2024at DETBOS 124 − 118
Mar 22, 2024at DETBOS 129 − 102
Mar 18, 2024at BOSBOS 119 − 94
Dec 28, 2023at BOSBOS 128 − 122
Feb 15, 2023at BOSBOS 127 − 109
Feb 6, 2023at DETBOS 111 − 99
Nov 12, 2022at DETBOS 117 − 108

BOS · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Oct 24, 2025at NY95 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs PHI116 − 117L
May 16, 2025at NY81 − 119L
May 14, 2025vs NY127 − 102W
May 12, 2025at NY113 − 121L
May 10, 2025at NY115 − 93W
May 7, 2025vs NY90 − 91L
May 5, 2025vs NY105 − 108L
Apr 29, 2025vs ORL120 − 89W
Apr 27, 2025at ORL107 − 98W

DET · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W
Oct 22, 2025at CHI111 − 115L
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W
Apr 27, 2025vs NY93 − 94L
Apr 24, 2025vs NY116 − 118L
Apr 21, 2025at NY100 − 94W
Apr 19, 2025at NY112 − 123L
Apr 13, 2025at MIL133 − 140L
Apr 11, 2025vs MIL119 − 125L