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Trail Blazers at Clippers

NBA · Sunday, Oct 26 · 8:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final POR 107 – LAC 114
← NBA / Oct 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR23372225107
LAC34213227114
Team box
POR·LAC
34-92
field goals
44-80
11-41
3-pointers
12-31
28-34
free throws
14-15
42
rebounds
46
24
assists
26
16
turnovers
24
44
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC3530104
Deni AvdijaPOR332375
Jrue HolidayPOR342167
Ivica ZubacLAC352183
James HardenLAC3820613
Shaedon SharpePOR321951

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +12
POR +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 11 · POR 12lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 25%, LAC 75% · Updated Oct 26, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 9.7
Expected score
LAC 114.7 – 105.0 POR
Expected total
219.7
Trail BlazersThe matchupClippers
+295Our fair odds−295
105.0Expected points114.7
−0.34Power rating+0.52
126.5Points / game118.5
118.5Allowed / game115.5
47.0FG%51.5
39.03P%43.0
38.5Rebounds / game41.5
1−1Season record1−1
5−5Last 105−5
Damian Lillard · Robert Williams III
Scoot HendersonOutJahmyl Telfort · Jordan Miller

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · LAC chance
Our model fair25.3%74.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+29525%————
LACLA Clippers−29575%————
SpreadLAC by 9.7
PORPortland Trail Blazers+9.7our margin————
LACLA Clippers−9.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.7
Over219.7our total————
Under219.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 9.7 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 52 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 51 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 50 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: 1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 52 points: <1%
← POR wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more66%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more50%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.7 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.570%
Total over 219.550%
Total over 229.530%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GBogdan Bogdanovicstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·LAC
Oct 24, 2025 vs GS
last game
Oct 24, 2025 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 26, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury recoveryOut
PORRobert Williams III · return to competition reconditioningOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
LA Clippers
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; strainOut
LACBradley Beal · back; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
POR·LAC
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
+0.52
126.5
points / game
118.5
118.5
points allowed / game
115.5
1−1
season record
1−1
1−1
home record
1−0
0−0
away record
0−1
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
5−5
47.0
FG%
51.5
39.0
3P%
43.0
38.5
rebounds / game
41.5
27.5
assists / game
30.0
17.5
turnovers / game
17.0
54.0
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

POR · LAC · 6 days
Portland Trail BlazersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 9−1
Jan 16, 2025at PORLAC 118 − 89
Dec 3, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 105
Oct 30, 2024at LACPOR 106 − 105
Mar 22, 2024at PORLAC 125 − 117
Mar 20, 2024at PORLAC 116 − 103
Dec 11, 2023at LACLAC 132 − 127
Oct 25, 2023at LACLAC 123 − 111
Apr 8, 2023at LACLAC 136 − 125
Mar 19, 2023at PORLAC 117 − 102
Nov 29, 2022at PORLAC 118 − 112

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 24, 2025vs GS139 − 119W
Oct 22, 2025vs MIN114 − 118L
Apr 13, 2025vs LAL109 − 81W
Apr 11, 2025vs GS86 − 103L
Apr 9, 2025at UTAH126 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025vs SA120 − 109W
Apr 4, 2025at CHI113 − 118L
Apr 3, 2025at TOR112 − 103W
Apr 1, 2025at ATL127 − 113W
Mar 30, 2025at NY93 − 110L

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 24, 2025vs PHX129 − 102W
Oct 22, 2025at UTAH108 − 129L
May 3, 2025at DEN101 − 120L
May 1, 2025vs DEN111 − 105W
Apr 29, 2025at DEN115 − 131L
Apr 26, 2025vs DEN99 − 101L
Apr 24, 2025vs DEN117 − 83W
Apr 21, 2025at DEN105 − 102W
Apr 19, 2025at DEN110 − 112L
Apr 13, 2025at GS124 − 119W