bayesRatings

Kraken at Predators

NHL · Thursday, Mar 19 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final SEA 1 – NSH 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
SEA1001
NSH1113
Team box
SEA·NSH
26
shots
28
0 of 2
power play
1 of 3
53.7
faceoff %
46.3
14
hits
18
13
blocked shots
8
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Joey DaccordSEA2725.926
Justus AnnunenNSH2625.962

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
SEA +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 2 · SEA 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SEA 49%, NSH 51% · Updated Mar 19

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
SEA 3.1 – 3.0 NSH
Expected total
6.1
KrakenThe matchupPredators
+105Our fair odds−105
3.1Expected goals3.0
−0.09Power rating−0.19
2.9Goals / game3.0
3.1Allowed / game3.4
25.5Shots / game28.2
48.0Faceoff %51.0
18.9Hits / game19.3
31−36Season record30−37
4−6Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SEA chance · NSH chance
Our model fair48.7%51.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SEASeattle Kraken+10549%————
NSHNashville Predators−10551%————
Spreadabout even
SEASeattle Kraken−0.1our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Seattle Kraken by 6 goals: <1%Seattle Kraken by 5 goals: 2%Seattle Kraken by 4 goals: 6%Seattle Kraken by 3 goals: 12%Seattle Kraken by 2 goals: 10%Seattle Kraken by 1 goal: 18%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 25%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 10%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← SEA wins byNSH wins by →
Seattle Kraken wins by 2 or more31%
Seattle Kraken wins by 3 or more21%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more26%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
SEAJoey Daccord G · last 5 starts: .908 save %, 2.82 GAAstarted
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .910 save %, 2.46 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SEA·NSH
Mar 17 vs TB
last game
Mar 17 at WPG
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 67+ games
SEA·NSH
−0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
2.9
goals / game
3.0
3.1
goals allowed / game
3.4
31−36
season record
30−37
17−19
home record
17−16
14−17
away record
13−21
L1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
4−6
25.5
shots / game
28.2
48.0
faceoff %
51.0
18.9
hits / game
19.3
16.0
blocked shots / game
12.0
4.7
takeaways / game
5.3
15.3
giveaways / game
15.0

Rating Trend

SEA · NSH · 134 days
Seattle KrakenNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 5−5
Mar 10at SEANSH 4 − 2
Jan 1at SEASEA 4 − 1
Mar 6, 2025at NSHNSH 5 − 3
Nov 20, 2024at SEASEA 3 − 0
Oct 15, 2024at NSHSEA 7 − 3
Mar 16, 2024at SEANSH 4 − 1
Nov 2, 2023at SEASEA 4 − 2
Oct 12, 2023at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Mar 25, 2023at NSHSEA 7 − 2
Mar 23, 2023at NSHNSH 2 − 1 SO

SEA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 17vs TB2 − 6L
Mar 15vs FLA6 − 2W
Mar 14at VAN5 − 2W
Mar 12vs COL1 − 5L
Mar 10vs NSH2 − 4L
Mar 7vs OTT4 − 7L
Mar 4vs STL2 − 3L
Mar 2vs CAR2 − 1W
Feb 28vs VAN5 − 1W
Feb 26at STL1 − 5L

NSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Mar 17at WPG4 − 3W
Mar 15at EDM1 − 3L
Mar 12at VAN3 − 4L
Mar 10at SEA4 − 2W
Mar 7at BUF2 − 3L
Mar 5vs BOS6 − 3W
Mar 3at CBJ2 − 3L
Mar 2vs DET2 − 4L
Feb 28at DAL2 − 3L
Feb 26vs CHI4 − 2W