bayesRatings

Predators at Kraken

NHL · Tuesday, Mar 10 · 9:00 PM CT · Climate Pledge Arena · Final NSH 4 – SEA 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH0314
SEA2002
Team box
NSH·SEA
27
shots
45
0 of 1
power play
0 of 1
50.7
faceoff %
49.3
13
hits
23
8
blocked shots
18
7
penalty minutes
7
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH4543.956
Joey DaccordSEA2623.885

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SEA +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: SEA 2 · NSH 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 43%, SEA 57% · Updated Mar 10

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
SEA 3.2 – 2.8 NSH
Expected total
6.0
PredatorsThe matchupKraken
+131Our fair odds−131
2.8Expected goals3.2
−0.20Power rating−0.10
3.0Goals / game2.9
3.4Allowed / game3.0
28.4Shots / game25.2
51.4Faceoff %48.1
19.5Hits / game18.8
28−35Season record29−33
4−6Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · SEA chance
Our model fair43.3%56.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+13143%————
SEASeattle Kraken−13157%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators+0.4our margin————
SEASeattle Kraken−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 20%Seattle Kraken by 1 goal: 23%Seattle Kraken by 2 goals: 11%Seattle Kraken by 3 goals: 13%Seattle Kraken by 4 goals: 7%Seattle Kraken by 5 goals: 2%Seattle Kraken by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins bySEA wins by →
Seattle Kraken wins by 2 or more34%
Seattle Kraken wins by 3 or more23%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .876 save %, 3.58 GAAstarted
SEAJoey Daccord G · last 5 starts: .906 save %, 3.00 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·SEA
Mar 7 at BUF
last game
Mar 7 vs OTT
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 62+ games
NSH·SEA
−0.20
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
3.0
goals / game
2.9
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.0
28−35
season record
29−33
17−16
home record
16−16
11−19
away record
13−17
L1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
5−5
28.4
shots / game
25.2
51.4
faceoff %
48.1
19.5
hits / game
18.8
11.9
blocked shots / game
16.1
5.3
takeaways / game
4.7
15.1
giveaways / game
15.4

Rating Trend

NSH · SEA · 125 days
Nashville PredatorsSeattle Kraken
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SEA 6−4
Jan 1at SEASEA 4 − 1
Mar 6, 2025at NSHNSH 5 − 3
Nov 20, 2024at SEASEA 3 − 0
Oct 15, 2024at NSHSEA 7 − 3
Mar 16, 2024at SEANSH 4 − 1
Nov 2, 2023at SEASEA 4 − 2
Oct 12, 2023at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Mar 25, 2023at NSHSEA 7 − 2
Mar 23, 2023at NSHNSH 2 − 1 SO
Nov 8, 2022at SEASEA 5 − 1

NSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 7at BUF2 − 3L
Mar 5vs BOS6 − 3W
Mar 3at CBJ2 − 3L
Mar 2vs DET2 − 4L
Feb 28at DAL2 − 3L
Feb 26vs CHI4 − 2W
Feb 5at WSH2 − 4L
Feb 4vs MIN5 − 6L
Feb 2vs STL6 − 5W
Jan 31at NYI4 − 3W

SEA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Mar 7vs OTT4 − 7L
Mar 4vs STL2 − 3L
Mar 2vs CAR2 − 1W
Feb 28vs VAN5 − 1W
Feb 26at STL1 − 5L
Feb 25at DAL1 − 4L
Feb 4at LA4 − 2W
Feb 3at ANA2 − 4L
Jan 31at VGK3 − 2W
Jan 29vs TOR5 − 2W