bayesRatings

Predators at Blue Jackets

NHL · Tuesday, Mar 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final NSH 2 – CBJ 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH1102
CBJ1023
Team box
NSH·CBJ
25
shots
27
1 of 2
power play
0 of 4
50.0
faceoff %
50.0
12
hits
14
16
blocked shots
16
8
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Justus AnnunenNSH2724.889
Jet GreavesCBJ2321.913
Elvis MerzlikinsCBJ221.000

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CBJ 1 · NSH 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 41%, CBJ 59% · Updated Mar 3

Expected margin
CBJ by 0.7
Expected score
CBJ 3.7 – 3.0 NSH
Expected total
6.7
PredatorsThe matchupBlue Jackets
+146Our fair odds−146
3.0Expected goals3.7
−0.20Power rating+0.01
3.0Goals / game3.2
3.5Allowed / game3.2
28.6Shots / game29.9
51.4Faceoff %50.5
19.6Hits / game19.7
27−33Season record30−29
3−7Last 108−2

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair40.7%59.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+14641%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−14659%————
SpreadCBJ by 0.7
NSHNashville Predators+0.7our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Columbus Blue Jackets by 0.7 expected
Nashville Predators by 7 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 15%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 9%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 4%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 7 goals: <1%
← NSH wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more40%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more29%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more20%
Decided by one goal39%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 18%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 12%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.533%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .921 save %, 2.18 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .914 save %, 2.39 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·CBJ
Mar 2 vs DET
last game
Mar 2 at NYR
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 59+ games
NSH·CBJ
−0.20
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
3.0
goals / game
3.2
3.5
goals allowed / game
3.2
27−33
season record
30−29
16−16
home record
15−13
11−17
away record
15−16
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
8−2
28.6
shots / game
29.9
51.4
faceoff %
50.5
19.6
hits / game
19.7
11.8
blocked shots / game
14.7
5.2
takeaways / game
4.9
15.2
giveaways / game
15.7

Rating Trend

NSH · CBJ · 118 days
Nashville PredatorsColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CBJ 3−6
Oct 9, 2025at NSHNSH 2 − 1
Apr 1, 2025at CBJCBJ 8 − 4
Oct 26, 2024at NSHNSH 4 − 3 OT
Apr 13, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 4
Mar 9, 2024at CBJNSH 2 − 1
Jan 17, 2023at NSHNSH 2 − 1
Oct 20, 2022at CBJCBJ 5 − 3
Dec 30, 2021at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 SO
Nov 30, 2021at NSHNSH 6 − 0

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Mar 2vs DET2 − 4L
Feb 28at DAL2 − 3L
Feb 26vs CHI4 − 2W
Feb 5at WSH2 − 4L
Feb 4vs MIN5 − 6L
Feb 2vs STL6 − 5W
Jan 31at NYI4 − 3W
Jan 29at NJ2 − 3L
Jan 27at BOS2 − 3L
Jan 24vs UTAH2 − 5L

CBJ · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Mar 2at NYR5 − 4W
Feb 28vs NYI3 − 4L
Feb 26at BOS2 − 4L
Feb 4vs CHI4 − 0W
Feb 3at NJ3 − 0W
Jan 31at STL5 − 3W
Jan 30at CHI4 − 2W
Jan 28vs PHI5 − 3W
Jan 24vs TB8 − 5W
Jan 22vs DAL1 − 0W