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Blue Jackets at Blackhawks

NHL · Friday, Jan 30 · 7:30 PM CT · United Center · Final CBJ 4 – CHI 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ1214
CHI1102
Team box
CBJ·CHI
26
shots
24
1 of 3
power play
0 of 2
60.0
faceoff %
40.0
16
hits
13
13
blocked shots
15
4
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Elvis MerzlikinsCBJ2422.917
Spencer KnightCHI2522.880

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CHI 0 · CBJ 2lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 53%, CHI 47% · Updated Jan 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.3 – 2.9 CHI
Expected total
6.2
Blue JacketsThe matchupBlackhawks
−115Our fair odds+115
3.3Expected goals2.9
−0.07Power rating−0.36
3.1Goals / game2.7
3.3Allowed / game3.2
30.3Shots / game25.0
50.5Faceoff %47.1
19.8Hits / game17.6
25−27Season record21−33
7−3Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · CHI chance
Our model fair53.4%46.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−11553%————
CHIChicago Blackhawks+11547%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.4our margin————
CHIChicago Blackhawks+0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.2
Over6.2our total————
Under6.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 14%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 18%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 24%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 8%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 9%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 4%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 1%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byCHI wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more36%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more25%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more22%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.2 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.556%
Total over 6.545%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJElvis Merzlikins G · last 5 starts: .900 save %, 2.96 GAAstarted
CHISpencer Knight G · last 5 starts: .909 save %, 2.34 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·CHI
Jan 28 vs PHI
last game
Jan 29 at PIT
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
CBJ·CHI
−0.07
rating (0 = average)
−0.36
3.1
goals / game
2.7
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.2
25−27
season record
21−33
14−12
home record
11−18
11−15
away record
10−15
W3
streak
L4
7−3
last 10
3−7
30.3
shots / game
25.0
50.5
faceoff %
47.1
19.8
hits / game
17.6
14.7
blocked shots / game
12.3
4.9
takeaways / game
5.1
16.0
giveaways / game
16.1

Rating Trend

CBJ · CHI · 105 days
Columbus Blue JacketsChicago Blackhawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 2−6
Feb 22, 2025at CBJCBJ 5 − 1
Dec 1, 2024at CHICBJ 6 − 3
Mar 2, 2024at CHICBJ 5 − 2
Nov 22, 2023at CBJCBJ 7 − 3
Dec 31, 2022at CBJCBJ 4 − 1
Dec 23, 2022at CHICHI 5 − 2
Feb 17, 2022at CHICBJ 7 − 4
Jan 11, 2022at CBJCHI 4 − 2

CBJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Jan 28vs PHI5 − 3W
Jan 24vs TB8 − 5W
Jan 22vs DAL1 − 0W
Jan 20vs OTT1 − 4L
Jan 17at PIT4 − 3W
Jan 15vs VAN4 − 1W
Jan 13vs CGY5 − 3W
Jan 11at UTAH3 − 2W
Jan 10at COL0 − 4L
Jan 8at VGK3 − 5L

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Jan 29at PIT2 − 6L
Jan 27at MIN3 − 4L
Jan 25vs FLA1 − 5L
Jan 23vs TB1 − 2L
Jan 22at CAR4 − 3W
Jan 19vs WPG2 − 0W
Jan 17vs BOS2 − 5L
Jan 15vs CGY1 − 3L
Jan 12vs EDM1 − 4L
Jan 10at NSH3 − 0W