bayesRatings

Blackhawks at Predators

NHL · Saturday, Jan 10 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final CHI 3 – NSH 0

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CHI0123
NSH0000
Team box
CHI·NSH
21
shots
36
1 of 3
power play
0 of 3
45.3
faceoff %
54.7
18
hits
20
8
blocked shots
8
8
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Drew CommessoCHI36361.000
Juuse SarosNSH2018.900

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
CHI +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 0 · CHI 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 42%, NSH 58% · Updated Jan 10

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
NSH 3.2 – 2.9 CHI
Expected total
6.1
BlackhawksThe matchupPredators
+138Our fair odds−138
2.9Expected goals3.2
−0.33Power rating−0.15
2.9Goals / game2.8
3.2Allowed / game3.3
25.3Shots / game28.0
46.9Faceoff %52.0
18.0Hits / game19.4
18−26Season record20−23
5−5Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · NSH chance
Our model fair42.0%58.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Blackhawks+13842%————
NSHNashville Predators−13858%————
Spreadabout even
CHIChicago Blackhawks+0.3our margin————
NSHNashville Predators−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 2%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 5%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 10%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 9%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 17%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 26%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 10%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 12%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 6%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← CHI wins byNSH wins by →
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more32%
Nashville Predators wins by 3 or more21%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more26%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CHIDrew Commesso G · last 2 starts: .812 save %, 4.50 GAAstarted
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .893 save %, 3.17 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·NSH
Jan 9 vs WSH
last game
Jan 8 vs NYI
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
CHI·NSH
−0.33
rating (0 = average)
−0.15
2.9
goals / game
2.8
3.2
goals allowed / game
3.3
18−26
season record
20−23
10−13
home record
11−11
8−13
away record
9−12
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
7−3
25.3
shots / game
28.0
46.9
faceoff %
52.0
18.0
hits / game
19.4
12.2
blocked shots / game
12.1
5.2
takeaways / game
5.3
16.3
giveaways / game
15.4

Rating Trend

CHI · NSH · 85 days
Chicago BlackhawksNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 8−2
Nov 28, 2025at CHINSH 4 − 3
Mar 8, 2025at NSHNSH 3 − 2 OT
Feb 7, 2025at CHICHI 6 − 2
Jan 16, 2025at NSHNSH 3 − 2 SO
Oct 25, 2024at CHINSH 3 − 2
Apr 12, 2024at CHINSH 5 − 1
Jan 2, 2024at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Dec 5, 2023at CHINSH 4 − 3 SO
Nov 18, 2023at NSHNSH 4 − 2
Mar 16, 2023at NSHCHI 2 − 1

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 9vs WSH1 − 5L
Jan 7vs STL7 − 3W
Jan 4vs VGK3 − 2W
Jan 3at WSH3 − 2W
Jan 1vs DAL4 − 3W
Dec 30, 2025vs NYI2 − 3L
Dec 28, 2025vs PIT3 − 7L
Dec 27, 2025at DAL4 − 3W
Dec 23, 2025vs PHI1 − 3L
Dec 20, 2025at OTT4 − 6L

NSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Jan 8vs NYI2 − 1W
Jan 6at EDM2 − 6L
Jan 3at CGY4 − 3W
Jan 1at SEA1 − 4L
Dec 31, 2025at VGK4 − 2W
Dec 29, 2025at UTAH4 − 3W
Dec 27, 2025at STL2 − 3L
Dec 23, 2025at MIN3 − 2W
Dec 21, 2025vs NYR2 − 1W
Dec 20, 2025vs TOR5 − 3W