bayesRatings

Predators at Wild

NHL · Tuesday, Dec 23 · 7:00 PM CT · Grand Casino Arena · Final NSH 3 – MIN 2
← NHL / Dec 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
NSH20013
MIN11002
Team box
NSH·MIN
29
shots
32
2 of 4
power play
0 of 3
60.8
faceoff %
39.2
22
hits
27
10
blocked shots
9
8
penalty minutes
10
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Steven StamkosNSH114
Ryan O'ReillyNSH112
Joel Eriksson EkMIN104
Roman JosiNSH104
Brock FaberMIN102
Kirill KaprizovMIN018
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH3230.938
Filip GustavssonMIN2926.897

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: MIN 1 · NSH 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 38%, MIN 62% · Updated Dec 23, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 0.8
Expected score
MIN 3.2 – 2.5 NSH
Expected total
5.7
PredatorsThe matchupWild
+162Our fair odds−162
2.5Expected goals3.2
−0.21Power rating+0.11
2.9Goals / game3.1
3.4Allowed / game2.6
28.1Shots / game28.4
52.4Faceoff %46.8
19.2Hits / game21.9
15−20Season record22−15
7−3Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · MIN chance
Our model fair38.2%61.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+16238%————
MINMinnesota Wild−16262%————
SpreadMIN by 0.8
NSHNashville Predators+0.8our margin————
MINMinnesota Wild−0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Wild by 0.8 expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 3%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 21%Minnesota Wild by 1 goal: 21%Minnesota Wild by 2 goals: 12%Minnesota Wild by 3 goals: 16%Minnesota Wild by 4 goals: 9%Minnesota Wild by 5 goals: 3%Minnesota Wild by 6 goals: 1%
← NSH wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Wild wins by 2 or more41%
Minnesota Wild wins by 3 or more28%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.59 GAAstarted
MINFilip Gustavsson G · last 5 starts: .945 save %, 1.40 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·MIN
Dec 21, 2025 vs NYR
last game
Dec 21, 2025 vs COL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 35+ games
NSH·MIN
−0.21
rating (0 = average)
+0.11
2.9
goals / game
3.1
3.4
goals allowed / game
2.6
15−20
season record
22−15
10−11
home record
13−8
5−9
away record
9−7
W2
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
7−3
28.1
shots / game
28.4
52.4
faceoff %
46.8
19.2
hits / game
21.9
11.7
blocked shots / game
16.1
5.1
takeaways / game
4.6
15.4
giveaways / game
14.9

Rating Trend

NSH · MIN · 70 days
Nashville PredatorsMinnesota Wild
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 6−4
Nov 4, 2025at MINMIN 3 − 2 OT
Jan 18, 2025at NSHNSH 6 − 2
Dec 31, 2024at MINMIN 5 − 3
Nov 30, 2024at MINMIN 3 − 2 OT
Mar 10, 2024at MINMIN 4 − 3 OT
Feb 29, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 1
Jan 25, 2024at MINNSH 3 − 2
Nov 30, 2023at NSHMIN 6 − 1
Apr 13, 2023at NSHNSH 4 − 3 OT
Feb 19, 2023at MINMIN 4 − 3

NSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 21, 2025vs NYR2 − 1W
Dec 20, 2025vs TOR5 − 3W
Dec 17, 2025vs CAR1 − 4L
Dec 15, 2025at STL5 − 2W
Dec 13, 2025at COL2 − 4L
Dec 11, 2025vs STL7 − 2W
Dec 9, 2025vs COL4 − 3W
Dec 6, 2025at CAR3 − 6L
Dec 4, 2025at FLA2 − 1W
Dec 2, 2025vs CGY5 − 1W

MIN · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Dec 21, 2025vs COL1 − 5L
Dec 20, 2025vs EDM5 − 2W
Dec 18, 2025at CBJ5 − 2W
Dec 16, 2025vs WSH5 − 0W
Dec 14, 2025vs BOS6 − 2W
Dec 13, 2025vs OTT3 − 2W
Dec 11, 2025vs DAL5 − 2W
Dec 8, 2025at SEA4 − 1W
Dec 6, 2025at VAN2 − 4L
Dec 4, 2025at CGY1 − 4L