bayesRatings

Hurricanes at Predators

NHL · Wednesday, Dec 17 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final CAR 4 – NSH 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CAR1034
NSH0011
Team box
CAR·NSH
37
shots
26
1 of 4
power play
0 of 3
46.8
faceoff %
53.2
11
hits
23
14
blocked shots
15
6
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Pyotr KochetkovCAR2625.962
Juuse SarosNSH3633.917

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
CAR +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 0 · CAR 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CAR 57%, NSH 43% · Updated Dec 17, 2025

Expected margin
CAR by 0.8
Expected score
CAR 3.4 – 2.6 NSH
Expected total
6.1
HurricanesThe matchupPredators
−134Our fair odds+134
3.4Expected goals2.6
+0.23Power rating−0.23
3.4Goals / game2.9
2.8Allowed / game3.5
33.0Shots / game27.9
50.1Faceoff %53.3
18.4Hits / game19.1
21−11Season record13−19
7−3Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CAR chance · NSH chance
Our model fair57.2%42.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CARCarolina Hurricanes−13457%————
NSHNashville Predators+13443%————
SpreadCAR by 0.8
CARCarolina Hurricanes−0.8our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 0.8 expected
Carolina Hurricanes by 7 goals: <1%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 4%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 9%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 16%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 12%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 17%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 23%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 3%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 7 goals: <1%
← CAR wins byNSH wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more42%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more30%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.555%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CARPyotr Kochetkov G · last 5 starts: .881 save %, 2.54 GAAstarted
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.84 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CAR·NSH
Dec 14, 2025 vs PHI
last game
Dec 15, 2025 at STL
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 32+ games
CAR·NSH
+0.23
rating (0 = average)
−0.23
3.4
goals / game
2.9
2.8
goals allowed / game
3.5
21−11
season record
13−19
11−6
home record
8−10
10−5
away record
5−9
W4
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
7−3
33.0
shots / game
27.9
50.1
faceoff %
53.3
18.4
hits / game
19.1
10.8
blocked shots / game
11.4
5.6
takeaways / game
5.1
16.6
giveaways / game
15.5

Rating Trend

CAR · NSH · 64 days
Carolina HurricanesNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NSH 5−4
Dec 6, 2025at CARCAR 6 − 3
Mar 25, 2025at CARNSH 3 − 1
Dec 23, 2024at NSHNSH 5 − 2
Dec 27, 2023at NSHCAR 5 − 2
Dec 15, 2023at CARNSH 6 − 5 OT
Apr 6, 2023at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Jan 5, 2023at CARNSH 5 − 3
Feb 18, 2022at CARCAR 5 − 3
Oct 16, 2021at NSHCAR 3 − 2

CAR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Dec 14, 2025vs PHI3 − 2W
Dec 13, 2025at PHI4 − 3W
Dec 11, 2025at WSH3 − 2W
Dec 9, 2025vs CBJ4 − 1W
Dec 7, 2025vs SJ1 − 4L
Dec 6, 2025vs NSH6 − 3W
Dec 4, 2025vs TOR1 − 5L
Nov 30, 2025vs CGY1 − 0W
Nov 28, 2025vs WPG5 − 1W
Nov 26, 2025vs NYR2 − 4L

NSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 15, 2025at STL5 − 2W
Dec 13, 2025at COL2 − 4L
Dec 11, 2025vs STL7 − 2W
Dec 9, 2025vs COL4 − 3W
Dec 6, 2025at CAR3 − 6L
Dec 4, 2025at FLA2 − 1W
Dec 2, 2025vs CGY5 − 1W
Nov 29, 2025vs WPG2 − 5L
Nov 28, 2025at CHI4 − 3W
Nov 26, 2025at DET6 − 3W