bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Hurricanes

NHL · Tuesday, Dec 9 · 6:30 PM CT · Lenovo Center · Final CBJ 1 – CAR 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ1001
CAR0134
Team box
CBJ·CAR
24
shots
32
1 of 3
power play
1 of 4
39.3
faceoff %
60.7
14
hits
19
18
blocked shots
16
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ3128.903
Brandon BussiCAR2423.958

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CAR +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CAR 3 · CBJ 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 39%, CAR 61% · Updated Dec 9, 2025

Expected margin
CAR by 0.9
Expected score
CAR 3.7 – 2.8 CBJ
Expected total
6.5
Blue JacketsThe matchupHurricanes
+159Our fair odds−159
2.8Expected goals3.7
−0.08Power rating+0.20
3.1Goals / game3.4
3.4Allowed / game2.9
30.7Shots / game33.3
50.3Faceoff %49.4
18.5Hits / game18.3
13−16Season record17−11
3−7Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · CAR chance
Our model fair38.6%61.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+15939%————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−15961%————
SpreadCAR by 0.9
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.9our margin————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−0.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.5
Over6.5our total————
Under6.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 0.9 expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 7 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 21%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 18%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 12%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 16%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 10%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 4%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 7 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more44%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more32%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal39%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.5 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 9%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 11%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.561%
Total over 6.550%
Total over 7.531%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.52 GAAstarted
CARBrandon Bussi G · last 5 starts: .889 save %, 2.18 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·CAR
Dec 7, 2025 at WSH
last game
Dec 7, 2025 vs SJ
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
7th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 28+ games
CBJ·CAR
−0.08
rating (0 = average)
+0.20
3.1
goals / game
3.4
3.4
goals allowed / game
2.9
13−16
season record
17−11
6−6
home record
9−6
7−10
away record
8−5
L2
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
5−5
30.7
shots / game
33.3
50.3
faceoff %
49.4
18.5
hits / game
18.3
14.0
blocked shots / game
10.9
4.8
takeaways / game
5.5
16.5
giveaways / game
16.9

Rating Trend

CBJ · CAR · 56 days
Columbus Blue JacketsCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CAR 6−4
Jan 23, 2025at CARCAR 7 − 4
Dec 31, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 SO
Dec 15, 2024at CARCAR 4 − 1
Nov 23, 2024at CBJCBJ 5 − 4 SO
Apr 16, 2024at CBJCBJ 6 − 3
Apr 7, 2024at CARCAR 3 − 0
Feb 29, 2024at CBJCAR 4 − 2
Nov 26, 2023at CARCAR 3 − 2
Jan 12, 2023at CBJCAR 6 − 2
Jan 7, 2023at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 SO

CBJ · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 7, 2025at WSH0 − 2L
Dec 6, 2025at FLA6 − 7L
Dec 4, 2025vs DET6 − 5W
Dec 1, 2025at NJ5 − 3W
Nov 28, 2025vs PIT3 − 4L
Nov 26, 2025vs TOR1 − 2L
Nov 24, 2025at WSH1 − 5L
Nov 22, 2025at DET3 − 4L
Nov 20, 2025at TOR3 − 2W
Nov 18, 2025at WPG2 − 5L

CAR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 7, 2025vs SJ1 − 4L
Dec 6, 2025vs NSH6 − 3W
Dec 4, 2025vs TOR1 − 5L
Nov 30, 2025vs CGY1 − 0W
Nov 28, 2025vs WPG5 − 1W
Nov 26, 2025vs NYR2 − 4L
Nov 23, 2025at BUF1 − 4L
Nov 21, 2025at WPG4 − 3W
Nov 19, 2025at MIN3 − 4L
Nov 17, 2025at BOS3 − 1W