bayesRatings

Predators at Hurricanes

NHL · Saturday, Dec 6 · 6:00 PM CT · Lenovo Center · Final NSH 3 – CAR 6

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH0033
CAR3126
Team box
NSH·CAR
22
shots
40
1 of 3
power play
2 of 6
58.4
faceoff %
41.6
19
hits
12
14
blocked shots
9
14
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Justus AnnunenNSH221.000
Juuse SarosNSH3832.842
Brandon BussiCAR2219.864

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CAR +5
NSH +5
P1P2P3
largest lead: CAR 5 · NSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 31%, CAR 69% · Updated Dec 6, 2025

Expected margin
CAR by 1.4
Expected score
CAR 3.8 – 2.5 NSH
Expected total
6.3
PredatorsThe matchupHurricanes
+223Our fair odds−223
2.5Expected goals3.8
−0.38Power rating+0.25
2.6Goals / game3.3
3.5Allowed / game2.9
27.9Shots / game33.2
53.2Faceoff %49.7
19.9Hits / game18.8
10−17Season record16−10
5−5Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · CAR chance
Our model fair30.9%69.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+22331%————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−22369%————
SpreadCAR by 1.4
NSHNashville Predators+1.4our margin————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.3
Over6.3our total————
Under6.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 1.4 expected
Nashville Predators by 7 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 18%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 18%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 13%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 19%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 12%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 5%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 7 goals: 1%
← NSH wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more52%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more39%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more12%
Decided by one goal36%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.3 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.558%
Total over 6.546%
Total over 7.528%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .931 save %, 1.79 GAAstarted
CARBrandon Bussi G · last 5 starts: .905 save %, 1.98 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·CAR
Dec 4, 2025 at FLA
last game
Dec 4, 2025 vs TOR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
NSH·CAR
−0.38
rating (0 = average)
+0.25
2.6
goals / game
3.3
3.5
goals allowed / game
2.9
10−17
season record
16−10
6−10
home record
8−5
4−7
away record
8−5
W2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
5−5
27.9
shots / game
33.2
53.2
faceoff %
49.7
19.9
hits / game
18.8
10.9
blocked shots / game
11.1
5.2
takeaways / game
5.5
15.8
giveaways / game
16.9

Rating Trend

NSH · CAR · 53 days
Nashville PredatorsCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CAR 3−5
Mar 25, 2025at CARNSH 3 − 1
Dec 23, 2024at NSHNSH 5 − 2
Dec 27, 2023at NSHCAR 5 − 2
Dec 15, 2023at CARNSH 6 − 5 OT
Apr 6, 2023at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Jan 5, 2023at CARNSH 5 − 3
Feb 18, 2022at CARCAR 5 − 3
Oct 16, 2021at NSHCAR 3 − 2

NSH · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Dec 4, 2025at FLA2 − 1W
Dec 2, 2025vs CGY5 − 1W
Nov 29, 2025vs WPG2 − 5L
Nov 28, 2025at CHI4 − 3W
Nov 26, 2025at DET6 − 3W
Nov 24, 2025vs FLA3 − 8L
Nov 22, 2025vs COL0 − 3L
Nov 16, 2025at PIT0 − 4L
Nov 14, 2025vs PIT2 − 1W
Nov 10, 2025at NYR3 − 6L

CAR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 4, 2025vs TOR1 − 5L
Nov 30, 2025vs CGY1 − 0W
Nov 28, 2025vs WPG5 − 1W
Nov 26, 2025vs NYR2 − 4L
Nov 23, 2025at BUF1 − 4L
Nov 21, 2025at WPG4 − 3W
Nov 19, 2025at MIN3 − 4L
Nov 17, 2025at BOS3 − 1W
Nov 15, 2025vs EDM3 − 4L
Nov 14, 2025vs VAN4 − 3W