bayesRatings

Jets at Predators

NHL · Saturday, Nov 29 · 6:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final WPG 5 – NSH 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
WPG2125
NSH0112
Team box
WPG·NSH
27
shots
23
0 of 4
power play
1 of 4
51.6
faceoff %
48.4
27
hits
19
14
blocked shots
8
15
penalty minutes
15
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Eric ComrieWPG2321.913
Justus AnnunenNSH2622.846

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
WPG +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 0 · WPG 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WPG 60%, NSH 40% · Updated Nov 29, 2025

Expected margin
WPG by 1.3
Expected score
WPG 3.5 – 2.2 NSH
Expected total
5.8
JetsThe matchupPredators
−153Our fair odds+153
3.5Expected goals2.2
+0.22Power rating−0.45
3.1Goals / game2.6
3.0Allowed / game3.6
26.4Shots / game28.0
53.0Faceoff %53.5
21.2Hits / game20.0
12−11Season record8−16
3−7Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WPG chance · NSH chance
Our model fair60.5%39.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WPGWinnipeg Jets−15360%————
NSHNashville Predators+15340%————
SpreadWPG by 1.3
WPGWinnipeg Jets−1.3our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+1.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our total————
Under5.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Winnipeg Jets by 1.3 expected
Winnipeg Jets by 7 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 6 goals: 1%Winnipeg Jets by 5 goals: 5%Winnipeg Jets by 4 goals: 11%Winnipeg Jets by 3 goals: 19%Winnipeg Jets by 2 goals: 13%Winnipeg Jets by 1 goal: 17%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 21%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 7 goals: <1%
← WPG wins byNSH wins by →
Winnipeg Jets wins by 2 or more50%
Winnipeg Jets wins by 3 or more37%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more11%
Decided by one goal38%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.572%
Total over 5.550%
Total over 6.538%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
WPGEric Comrie G · last 5 starts: .875 save %, 3.43 GAAstarted
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .861 save %, 3.70 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WPG·NSH
Nov 28, 2025 at CAR
last game
Nov 28, 2025 at CHI
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
WPG·NSH
+0.22
rating (0 = average)
−0.45
3.1
goals / game
2.6
3.0
goals allowed / game
3.6
12−11
season record
8−16
6−5
home record
5−9
6−6
away record
3−7
L4
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
3−7
26.4
shots / game
28.0
53.0
faceoff %
53.5
21.2
hits / game
20.0
16.2
blocked shots / game
11.0
4.1
takeaways / game
5.2
14.8
giveaways / game
15.9

Rating Trend

WPG · NSH · 46 days
Winnipeg JetsNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 4−6
Oct 18, 2025at WPGWPG 4 − 1
Feb 27, 2025at NSHNSH 2 − 1
Jan 7, 2025at WPGWPG 5 − 2
Dec 30, 2024at WPGWPG 3 − 0
Nov 23, 2024at NSHNSH 4 − 1
Apr 9, 2024at NSHWPG 4 − 3 OT
Mar 13, 2024at WPGNSH 4 − 2
Nov 26, 2023at NSHNSH 3 − 2
Nov 9, 2023at WPGWPG 6 − 3
Apr 8, 2023at WPGWPG 2 − 0

WPG · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Nov 28, 2025at CAR1 − 5L
Nov 26, 2025at WSH3 − 4L
Nov 23, 2025vs MIN0 − 3L
Nov 21, 2025vs CAR3 − 4L
Nov 18, 2025vs CBJ5 − 2W
Nov 15, 2025at CGY4 − 3W
Nov 13, 2025at SEA3 − 5L
Nov 11, 2025at VAN5 − 3W
Nov 9, 2025at ANA1 − 4L
Nov 7, 2025at SJ1 − 2L

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Nov 28, 2025at CHI4 − 3W
Nov 26, 2025at DET6 − 3W
Nov 24, 2025vs FLA3 − 8L
Nov 22, 2025vs COL0 − 3L
Nov 16, 2025at PIT0 − 4L
Nov 14, 2025vs PIT2 − 1W
Nov 10, 2025at NYR3 − 6L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL4 − 5L
Nov 6, 2025vs PHI1 − 3L
Nov 4, 2025at MIN2 − 3L