bayesRatings

Predators at Blackhawks

NHL · Friday, Nov 28 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final NSH 4 – CHI 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH0314
CHI1113
Team box
NSH·CHI
29
shots
27
0 of 2
power play
1 of 4
62.9
faceoff %
37.1
21
hits
15
20
blocked shots
13
10
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH2724.889
Arvid SoderblomCHI2925.862

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CHI 1 · NSH 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 39%, CHI 61% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 0.6
Expected score
CHI 3.4 – 2.8 NSH
Expected total
6.2
PredatorsThe matchupBlackhawks
+154Our fair odds−154
2.8Expected goals3.4
−0.45Power rating−0.24
2.5Goals / game3.1
3.7Allowed / game2.9
28.0Shots / game25.4
53.1Faceoff %47.1
20.0Hits / game18.3
7−16Season record10−13
2−8Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · CHI chance
Our model fair39.3%60.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+15439%————
CHIChicago Blackhawks−15461%————
SpreadCHI by 0.6
NSHNashville Predators+0.6our margin————
CHIChicago Blackhawks−0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.2
Over6.2our total————
Under6.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Blackhawks by 0.6 expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 18%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 24%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 11%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 14%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 8%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 3%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: 1%
← NSH wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more37%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 3 or more26%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more21%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Total range

6.2 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.556%
Total over 6.545%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .879 save %, 2.60 GAAstarted
CHIArvid Soderblom G · last 5 starts: .881 save %, 3.45 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·CHI
Nov 26, 2025 at DET
last game
Nov 26, 2025 vs MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
NSH·CHI
−0.45
rating (0 = average)
−0.24
2.5
goals / game
3.1
3.7
goals allowed / game
2.9
7−16
season record
10−13
5−9
home record
5−7
2−7
away record
5−6
W1
streak
L4
2−8
last 10
5−5
28.0
shots / game
25.4
53.1
faceoff %
47.1
20.0
hits / game
18.3
10.6
blocked shots / game
12.0
5.2
takeaways / game
5.3
16.1
giveaways / game
17.4

Rating Trend

NSH · CHI · 45 days
Nashville PredatorsChicago Blackhawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 2−8
Mar 8, 2025at NSHNSH 3 − 2 OT
Feb 7, 2025at CHICHI 6 − 2
Jan 16, 2025at NSHNSH 3 − 2 SO
Oct 25, 2024at CHINSH 3 − 2
Apr 12, 2024at CHINSH 5 − 1
Jan 2, 2024at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Dec 5, 2023at CHINSH 4 − 3 SO
Nov 18, 2023at NSHNSH 4 − 2
Mar 16, 2023at NSHCHI 2 − 1
Mar 4, 2023at CHINSH 3 − 1

NSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Nov 26, 2025at DET6 − 3W
Nov 24, 2025vs FLA3 − 8L
Nov 22, 2025vs COL0 − 3L
Nov 16, 2025at PIT0 − 4L
Nov 14, 2025vs PIT2 − 1W
Nov 10, 2025at NYR3 − 6L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL4 − 5L
Nov 6, 2025vs PHI1 − 3L
Nov 4, 2025at MIN2 − 3L
Nov 3, 2025vs VAN4 − 5L

CHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L4
Nov 26, 2025vs MIN3 − 4L
Nov 23, 2025vs COL0 − 1L
Nov 21, 2025at BUF3 − 9L
Nov 20, 2025vs SEA2 − 3L
Nov 18, 2025vs CGY5 − 2W
Nov 15, 2025vs TOR3 − 2W
Nov 12, 2025vs NJ3 − 4L
Nov 9, 2025at DET5 − 1W
Nov 7, 2025at CGY4 − 0W
Nov 5, 2025at VAN5 − 2W