bayesRatings

Panthers at Predators

NHL · Monday, Nov 24 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final FLA 8 – NSH 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
FLA4138
NSH2013
Team box
FLA·NSH
26
shots
39
0 of 2
power play
1 of 3
42.9
faceoff %
57.1
19
hits
25
14
blocked shots
5
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Daniil TarasovFLA3936.923
Justus AnnunenNSH107.700
Juuse SarosNSH1611.688

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +5
FLA +5
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 0 · FLA 5lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was FLA 59%, NSH 41% · Updated Nov 24, 2025

Expected margin
FLA by 1.1
Expected score
FLA 3.4 – 2.3 NSH
Expected total
5.7
PanthersThe matchupPredators
−145Our fair odds+145
3.4Expected goals2.3
+0.24Power rating−0.37
3.0Goals / game2.3
3.1Allowed / game3.5
28.8Shots / game27.4
48.3Faceoff %53.1
26.0Hits / game19.7
11−10Season record6−15
6−4Last 102−8

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
FLA chance · NSH chance
Our model fair59.2%40.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
FLAFlorida Panthers−14559%————
NSHNashville Predators+14541%————
SpreadFLA by 1.1
FLAFlorida Panthers−1.1our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+1.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Florida Panthers by 1.1 expected
Florida Panthers by 7 goals: <1%Florida Panthers by 6 goals: 1%Florida Panthers by 5 goals: 4%Florida Panthers by 4 goals: 10%Florida Panthers by 3 goals: 18%Florida Panthers by 2 goals: 13%Florida Panthers by 1 goal: 18%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 22%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 6%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 7 goals: <1%
← FLA wins byNSH wins by →
Florida Panthers wins by 2 or more47%
Florida Panthers wins by 3 or more34%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more13%
Decided by one goal40%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.536%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
FLADaniil Tarasov G · last 5 starts: .919 save %, 2.18 GAAstarted
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .852 save %, 4.07 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
FLA·NSH
Nov 22, 2025 vs EDM
last game
Nov 22, 2025 vs COL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 21+ games
FLA·NSH
+0.24
rating (0 = average)
−0.37
3.0
goals / game
2.3
3.1
goals allowed / game
3.5
11−10
season record
6−15
8−4
home record
5−8
3−6
away record
1−7
L1
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
2−8
28.8
shots / game
27.4
48.3
faceoff %
53.1
26.0
hits / game
19.7
13.5
blocked shots / game
11.0
3.4
takeaways / game
5.3
14.4
giveaways / game
16.7

Rating Trend

FLA · NSH · 42 days
Florida PanthersNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NSH 4−4
Feb 25, 2025at NSHFLA 4 − 1
Nov 7, 2024at FLAFLA 6 − 2
Mar 21, 2024at FLANSH 3 − 0
Jan 22, 2024at NSHFLA 4 − 1
Mar 2, 2023at FLANSH 2 − 1
Feb 18, 2023at NSHNSH 7 − 3
Apr 9, 2022at NSHFLA 4 − 1
Feb 22, 2022at FLANSH 6 − 4

FLA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 22, 2025vs EDM3 − 6L
Nov 20, 2025vs NJ1 − 0W
Nov 17, 2025vs VAN8 − 5W
Nov 15, 2025vs TB1 − 3L
Nov 13, 2025vs WSH6 − 3W
Nov 10, 2025at VGK3 − 2W
Nov 8, 2025at SJ1 − 3L
Nov 6, 2025at LA5 − 2W
Nov 4, 2025at ANA3 − 7L
Nov 1, 2025vs DAL4 − 3W

NSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Nov 22, 2025vs COL0 − 3L
Nov 16, 2025at PIT0 − 4L
Nov 14, 2025vs PIT2 − 1W
Nov 10, 2025at NYR3 − 6L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL4 − 5L
Nov 6, 2025vs PHI1 − 3L
Nov 4, 2025at MIN2 − 3L
Nov 3, 2025vs VAN4 − 5L
Nov 1, 2025vs CGY4 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025at PHI1 − 4L