bayesRatings

Stars at Predators

NHL · Saturday, Nov 8 · 2:30 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final DAL 5 – NSH 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
DAL1135
NSH1214
Team box
DAL·NSH
22
shots
21
1 of 5
power play
1 of 4
45.6
faceoff %
54.4
15
hits
23
12
blocked shots
6
8
penalty minutes
10
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jake OettingerDAL2117.810
Justus AnnunenNSH2217.773

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
DAL +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NSH 1 · DAL 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 54%, NSH 46% · Updated Nov 8, 2025

Expected margin
DAL by 0.6
Expected score
DAL 3.2 – 2.6 NSH
Expected total
5.8
StarsThe matchupPredators
−118Our fair odds+118
3.2Expected goals2.6
+0.17Power rating−0.27
3.0Goals / game2.5
3.3Allowed / game3.4
26.1Shots / game27.4
53.4Faceoff %52.7
22.2Hits / game19.8
7−7Season record5−11
4−6Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · NSH chance
Our model fair54.0%46.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Stars−11854%————
NSHNashville Predators+11846%————
SpreadDAL by 0.6
DALDallas Stars−0.6our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our total————
Under5.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Stars by 0.6 expected
Dallas Stars by 6 goals: 1%Dallas Stars by 5 goals: 3%Dallas Stars by 4 goals: 8%Dallas Stars by 3 goals: 15%Dallas Stars by 2 goals: 12%Dallas Stars by 1 goal: 18%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 25%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 3%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← DAL wins byNSH wins by →
Dallas Stars wins by 2 or more39%
Dallas Stars wins by 3 or more27%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more19%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.572%
Total over 5.549%
Total over 6.538%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
DALJake Oettinger G · last 5 starts: .903 save %, 2.59 GAAstarted
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .844 save %, 4.24 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·NSH
Nov 6, 2025 vs ANA
last game
Nov 6, 2025 vs PHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
DAL·NSH
+0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.27
3.0
goals / game
2.5
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.4
7−7
season record
5−11
4−4
home record
4−6
3−3
away record
1−5
L1
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
3−7
26.1
shots / game
27.4
53.4
faceoff %
52.7
22.2
hits / game
19.8
17.4
blocked shots / game
12.1
4.1
takeaways / game
5.5
14.9
giveaways / game
16.1

Rating Trend

DAL · NSH · 26 days
Dallas StarsNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 4−6
Oct 26, 2025at NSHDAL 3 − 2
Apr 16, 2025at NSHNSH 5 − 1
Apr 3, 2025at DALDAL 5 − 1
Dec 12, 2024at DALNSH 4 − 1
Oct 10, 2024at NSHDAL 4 − 3
Feb 15, 2024at NSHDAL 9 − 2
Jan 12, 2024at DALNSH 6 − 3
Jan 6, 2024at DALNSH 4 − 3
Dec 23, 2023at NSHDAL 3 − 2
Apr 3, 2023at DALDAL 5 − 1

DAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 6, 2025vs ANA5 − 7L
Nov 4, 2025vs EDM4 − 3W
Nov 1, 2025at FLA3 − 4L
Oct 30, 2025at TB1 − 2L
Oct 28, 2025vs WSH1 − 0W
Oct 26, 2025at NSH3 − 2W
Oct 25, 2025vs CAR3 − 2W
Oct 23, 2025vs LA2 − 3L
Oct 21, 2025vs CBJ1 − 5L
Oct 18, 2025at STL1 − 3L

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Nov 6, 2025vs PHI1 − 3L
Nov 4, 2025at MIN2 − 3L
Nov 3, 2025vs VAN4 − 5L
Nov 1, 2025vs CGY4 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025at PHI1 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs TB2 − 5L
Oct 26, 2025vs DAL2 − 3L
Oct 25, 2025vs LA5 − 4W
Oct 23, 2025vs VAN2 − 1W
Oct 21, 2025vs ANA2 − 5L