bayesRatings

Predators at Wild

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM CT · Grand Casino Arena · Final NSH 2 – MIN 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
NSH01102
MIN11013
Team box
NSH·MIN
34
shots
24
0 of 2
power play
2 of 3
54.0
faceoff %
46.0
13
hits
22
11
blocked shots
22
6
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Justus AnnunenNSH2422.917
Filip GustavssonMIN3432.941

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: MIN 1 · NSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 40%, MIN 60% · Updated Nov 4, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
MIN 3.2 – 2.8 NSH
Expected total
5.9
PredatorsThe matchupWild
+153Our fair odds−153
2.8Expected goals3.2
−0.27Power rating−0.10
2.6Goals / game2.8
3.4Allowed / game3.8
27.1Shots / game30.1
52.7Faceoff %48.1
20.1Hits / game22.6
5−9Season record4−9
3−7Last 102−8

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · MIN chance
Our model fair39.6%60.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+15340%————
MINMinnesota Wild−15360%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators+0.4our margin————
MINMinnesota Wild−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.9
Over5.9our total————
Under5.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 16%Minnesota Wild by 1 goal: 28%Minnesota Wild by 2 goals: 11%Minnesota Wild by 3 goals: 13%Minnesota Wild by 4 goals: 6%Minnesota Wild by 5 goals: 2%Minnesota Wild by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Wild wins by 2 or more33%
Minnesota Wild wins by 3 or more22%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more24%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.9 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.573%
Total over 5.551%
Total over 6.540%
Total from 5 to 633%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .824 save %, 4.67 GAAstarted
MINFilip Gustavsson G · last 5 starts: .891 save %, 3.43 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·MIN
Nov 3, 2025 vs VAN
last game
Nov 1, 2025 vs VAN
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
6th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
NSH·MIN
−0.27
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
2.6
goals / game
2.8
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.8
5−9
season record
4−9
4−5
home record
2−5
1−4
away record
2−4
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
2−8
27.1
shots / game
30.1
52.7
faceoff %
48.1
20.1
hits / game
22.6
12.1
blocked shots / game
14.5
5.7
takeaways / game
3.8
15.6
giveaways / game
14.0

Rating Trend

NSH · MIN · 22 days
Nashville PredatorsMinnesota Wild
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 5−5
Jan 18, 2025at NSHNSH 6 − 2
Dec 31, 2024at MINMIN 5 − 3
Nov 30, 2024at MINMIN 3 − 2 OT
Mar 10, 2024at MINMIN 4 − 3 OT
Feb 29, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 1
Jan 25, 2024at MINNSH 3 − 2
Nov 30, 2023at NSHMIN 6 − 1
Apr 13, 2023at NSHNSH 4 − 3 OT
Feb 19, 2023at MINMIN 4 − 3
Nov 15, 2022at NSHNSH 2 − 1

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 3, 2025vs VAN4 − 5L
Nov 1, 2025vs CGY4 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025at PHI1 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs TB2 − 5L
Oct 26, 2025vs DAL2 − 3L
Oct 25, 2025vs LA5 − 4W
Oct 23, 2025vs VAN2 − 1W
Oct 21, 2025vs ANA2 − 5L
Oct 18, 2025at WPG1 − 4L
Oct 16, 2025at MTL2 − 3L

MIN · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Nov 1, 2025vs VAN5 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025vs PIT1 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs WPG3 − 4L
Oct 26, 2025vs SJ5 − 6L
Oct 25, 2025vs UTAH2 − 6L
Oct 22, 2025at NJ1 − 4L
Oct 20, 2025at NYR3 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025at PHI1 − 2L
Oct 17, 2025at WSH1 − 5L
Oct 14, 2025at DAL2 − 5L