bayesRatings

Kings at Predators

NHL · Saturday, Oct 25 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final LA 4 – NSH 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTSOT
LA121004
NSH121015
Team box
LA·NSH
40
shots
25
0 of 3
power play
0 of 2
44.9
faceoff %
55.1
11
hits
23
8
blocked shots
19
4
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Darcy KuemperLA2521.840
Juuse SarosNSH4036.900

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
LA +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: NSH 1 · LA 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LA 52%, NSH 48% · Updated Oct 25, 2025

Expected margin
LA by 0.6
Expected score
LA 3.2 – 2.7 NSH
Expected total
5.9
KingsThe matchupPredators
−107Our fair odds+107
3.2Expected goals2.7
+0.12Power rating−0.22
2.8Goals / game2.4
3.4Allowed / game3.1
28.8Shots / game28.0
49.8Faceoff %50.8
24.5Hits / game19.0
3−5Season record3−5
3−7Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LA chance · NSH chance
Our model fair51.7%48.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALos Angeles Kings−10752%————
NSHNashville Predators+10748%————
SpreadLA by 0.6
LALos Angeles Kings−0.6our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.9
Over5.9our total————
Under5.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Kings by 0.6 expected
Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: 1%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 8%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 15%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 12%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 17%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 25%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 3%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← LA wins byNSH wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more39%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more27%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more19%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.9 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.573%
Total over 5.551%
Total over 6.540%
Total from 5 to 633%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
LADarcy Kuemper G · last 5 starts: .896 save %, 2.59 GAAstarted
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .900 save %, 2.76 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LA·NSH
Oct 23, 2025 at DAL
last game
Oct 23, 2025 vs VAN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
LA·NSH
+0.12
rating (0 = average)
−0.22
2.8
goals / game
2.4
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.1
3−5
season record
3−5
0−3
home record
2−2
3−2
away record
1−3
W2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
4−6
28.8
shots / game
28.0
49.8
faceoff %
50.8
24.5
hits / game
19.0
14.1
blocked shots / game
13.1
5.4
takeaways / game
5.5
19.6
giveaways / game
15.5

Rating Trend

LA · NSH · 12 days
Los Angeles KingsNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 5−5
Mar 15, 2025at LALA 1 − 0 OT
Dec 21, 2024at NSHNSH 3 − 2 OT
Nov 4, 2024at NSHLA 3 − 0
Feb 22, 2024at LANSH 4 − 1
Jan 31, 2024at NSHLA 4 − 2
Jan 18, 2024at LANSH 2 − 1
Mar 11, 2023at LANSH 2 − 1 SO
Jan 21, 2023at NSHNSH 5 − 3
Oct 18, 2022at NSHLA 4 − 3 SO
Mar 22, 2022at LALA 6 − 1

LA · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Oct 23, 2025at DAL3 − 2W
Oct 21, 2025at STL2 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025vs CAR3 − 4L
Oct 16, 2025vs PIT2 − 4L
Oct 13, 2025at MIN3 − 4L
Oct 11, 2025at WPG2 − 3L
Oct 8, 2025at VGK6 − 5W
Oct 7, 2025vs COL1 − 4L
May 1, 2025at EDM4 − 6L
Apr 29, 2025vs EDM1 − 3L

NSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 23, 2025vs VAN2 − 1W
Oct 21, 2025vs ANA2 − 5L
Oct 18, 2025at WPG1 − 4L
Oct 16, 2025at MTL2 − 3L
Oct 14, 2025at TOR4 − 7L
Oct 13, 2025at OTT4 − 1W
Oct 11, 2025vs UTAH2 − 3L
Oct 9, 2025vs CBJ2 − 1W
Apr 16, 2025vs DAL5 − 1W
Apr 14, 2025vs UTAH3 − 7L