bayesRatings

Canucks at Predators

NHL · Monday, Nov 3 · 7:30 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · Final VAN 5 – NSH 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
VAN12115
NSH11204
Team box
VAN·NSH
36
shots
29
2 of 3
power play
2 of 4
44.8
faceoff %
55.2
22
hits
19
22
blocked shots
7
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Thatcher DemkoVAN2925.862
Juuse SarosNSH3631.861

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NSH +3
VAN +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: NSH 1 · VAN 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was VAN 49%, NSH 51% · Updated Nov 3, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
VAN 3.0 – 2.7 NSH
Expected total
5.7
CanucksThe matchupPredators
+106Our fair odds−106
3.0Expected goals2.7
−0.02Power rating−0.21
2.7Goals / game2.5
3.2Allowed / game3.3
25.0Shots / game27.0
45.0Faceoff %52.5
23.3Hits / game20.2
6−7Season record5−8
5−5Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
VAN chance · NSH chance
Our model fair48.6%51.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
VANVancouver Canucks+10649%————
NSHNashville Predators−10651%————
Spreadabout even
VANVancouver Canucks−0.3our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Vancouver Canucks by 6 goals: <1%Vancouver Canucks by 5 goals: 2%Vancouver Canucks by 4 goals: 7%Vancouver Canucks by 3 goals: 13%Vancouver Canucks by 2 goals: 11%Vancouver Canucks by 1 goal: 17%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 26%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← VAN wins byNSH wins by →
Vancouver Canucks wins by 2 or more34%
Vancouver Canucks wins by 3 or more23%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more22%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
VANThatcher Demko G · last 5 starts: .911 save %, 2.64 GAAstarted
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .903 save %, 2.79 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
VAN·NSH
Nov 1, 2025 at MIN
last game
Nov 1, 2025 vs CGY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
VAN·NSH
−0.02
rating (0 = average)
−0.21
2.7
goals / game
2.5
3.2
goals allowed / game
3.3
6−7
season record
5−8
2−3
home record
4−4
4−4
away record
1−4
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
3−7
25.0
shots / game
27.0
45.0
faceoff %
52.5
23.3
hits / game
20.2
16.0
blocked shots / game
12.5
3.8
takeaways / game
5.8
15.3
giveaways / game
15.4

Rating Trend

VAN · NSH · 21 days
Vancouver CanucksNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 5−5
Oct 23, 2025at NSHNSH 2 − 1
Jan 29, 2025at NSHVAN 3 − 1
Jan 3, 2025at VANNSH 3 − 0
Nov 17, 2024at VANNSH 5 − 3
May 3, 2024at NSHVAN 1 − 0post
Apr 30, 2024at VANNSH 2 − 1post
Apr 28, 2024at NSHVAN 4 − 3 OTpost
Apr 26, 2024at NSHVAN 2 − 1post
Apr 23, 2024at VANNSH 4 − 1post
Apr 21, 2024at VANVAN 4 − 2post

VAN · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Nov 1, 2025at MIN2 − 5L
Oct 30, 2025at STL4 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025vs NYR0 − 2L
Oct 26, 2025vs EDM4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025vs MTL3 − 4L
Oct 23, 2025at NSH1 − 2L
Oct 21, 2025at PIT1 − 5L
Oct 19, 2025at WSH4 − 3W
Oct 17, 2025at CHI3 − 2W
Oct 16, 2025at DAL5 − 3W

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Nov 1, 2025vs CGY4 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025at PHI1 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs TB2 − 5L
Oct 26, 2025vs DAL2 − 3L
Oct 25, 2025vs LA5 − 4W
Oct 23, 2025vs VAN2 − 1W
Oct 21, 2025vs ANA2 − 5L
Oct 18, 2025at WPG1 − 4L
Oct 16, 2025at MTL2 − 3L
Oct 14, 2025at TOR4 − 7L