bayesRatings

Jets at Ducks

NHL · Sunday, Nov 9 · 9:00 PM CT · Honda Center · Final WPG 1 – ANA 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
WPG0101
ANA2114
Team box
WPG·ANA
24
shots
21
0 of 4
power play
2 of 4
53.6
faceoff %
46.4
21
hits
20
15
blocked shots
14
8
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Eric ComrieWPG2117.810
Lukas DostalANA2423.958

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ANA +3
WPG +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: ANA 3 · WPG 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WPG 56%, ANA 44% · Updated Nov 9, 2025

Expected margin
WPG by 0.8
Expected score
WPG 3.4 – 2.6 ANA
Expected total
5.9
JetsThe matchupDucks
−125Our fair odds+125
3.4Expected goals2.6
+0.38Power rating−0.11
3.3Goals / game4.2
2.5Allowed / game3.2
27.2Shots / game30.8
52.5Faceoff %46.4
21.7Hits / game21.4
9−5Season record10−4
6−4Last 108−2

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WPG chance · ANA chance
Our model fair55.6%44.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WPGWinnipeg Jets−12556%————
ANAAnaheim Ducks+12544%————
SpreadWPG by 0.8
WPGWinnipeg Jets−0.8our margin————
ANAAnaheim Ducks+0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.9
Over5.9our total————
Under5.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Winnipeg Jets by 0.8 expected
Winnipeg Jets by 6 goals: 1%Winnipeg Jets by 5 goals: 3%Winnipeg Jets by 4 goals: 9%Winnipeg Jets by 3 goals: 16%Winnipeg Jets by 2 goals: 12%Winnipeg Jets by 1 goal: 17%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 24%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 7%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 6%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 3%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 1%Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: <1%
← WPG wins byANA wins by →
Winnipeg Jets wins by 2 or more42%
Winnipeg Jets wins by 3 or more30%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,072 past NHL games.

Total range

5.9 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.573%
Total over 5.551%
Total over 6.540%
Total from 5 to 633%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,072 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
WPGEric Comrie G · last 5 starts: .938 save %, 2.01 GAAstarted
ANALukas Dostal G · last 5 starts: .909 save %, 2.57 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WPG·ANA
Nov 7, 2025 at SJ
last game
Nov 8, 2025 at VGK
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
WPG·ANA
+0.38
rating (0 = average)
−0.11
3.3
goals / game
4.2
2.5
goals allowed / game
3.2
9−5
season record
10−4
5−3
home record
4−1
4−2
away record
6−3
L2
streak
W6
6−4
last 10
8−2
27.2
shots / game
30.8
52.5
faceoff %
46.4
21.7
hits / game
21.4
16.6
blocked shots / game
13.9
4.4
takeaways / game
4.1
14.9
giveaways / game
15.3

Rating Trend

WPG · ANA · 27 days
Winnipeg JetsAnaheim Ducks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ANA 2−8
Apr 16, 2025at WPGWPG 2 − 1 OT
Jan 2, 2025at WPGANA 4 − 3 OT
Dec 18, 2024at ANAANA 3 − 2
Mar 15, 2024at WPGWPG 6 − 0
Jan 5, 2024at ANAWPG 3 − 1
Dec 10, 2023at ANAWPG 4 − 2
Mar 23, 2023at ANAWPG 3 − 2
Dec 4, 2022at WPGWPG 5 − 2
Nov 17, 2022at WPGWPG 3 − 2
Oct 26, 2021at ANAWPG 4 − 3

WPG · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Nov 7, 2025at SJ1 − 2L
Nov 4, 2025at LA0 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs PIT5 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025vs CHI6 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025at MIN4 − 3W
Oct 26, 2025vs UTAH2 − 3L
Oct 24, 2025vs CGY5 − 3W
Oct 23, 2025vs SEA0 − 3L
Oct 20, 2025at CGY2 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025vs NSH4 − 1W

ANA · Last 10

8−2 · streak W6
Nov 8, 2025at VGK4 − 3W
Nov 6, 2025at DAL7 − 5W
Nov 4, 2025vs FLA7 − 3W
Nov 2, 2025vs NJ4 − 1W
Oct 31, 2025vs DET5 − 2W
Oct 28, 2025at FLA3 − 2W
Oct 25, 2025at TB3 − 4L
Oct 23, 2025at BOS7 − 5W
Oct 21, 2025at NSH5 − 2W
Oct 19, 2025at CHI1 − 2L