bayesRatings

Devils at Ducks

NHL · Sunday, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM CT · Honda Center · Final NJ 1 – ANA 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NJ0011
ANA2114
Team box
NJ·ANA
33
shots
29
0 of 1
power play
0 of 2
52.1
faceoff %
47.9
15
hits
18
19
blocked shots
18
4
penalty minutes
2
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jake AllenNJ2825.893
Lukas DostalANA3332.970

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ANA +3
NJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: ANA 3 · NJ 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NJ 52%, ANA 48% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
NJ by 0.5
Expected score
NJ 3.3 – 2.8 ANA
Expected total
6.1
DevilsThe matchupDucks
−107Our fair odds+107
3.3Expected goals2.8
+0.12Power rating−0.20
3.8Goals / game3.7
3.0Allowed / game3.3
28.6Shots / game31.6
47.9Faceoff %46.1
21.0Hits / game22.8
9−3Season record6−4
8−2Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NJ chance · ANA chance
Our model fair51.7%48.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NJNew Jersey Devils−10752%————
ANAAnaheim Ducks+10748%————
SpreadNJ by 0.5
NJNew Jersey Devils−0.5our margin————
ANAAnaheim Ducks+0.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New Jersey Devils by 0.5 expected
New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: 1%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 3%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 8%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 14%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 11%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 17%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 25%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 8%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 8%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 4%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 1%Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: <1%
← NJ wins byANA wins by →
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more38%
New Jersey Devils wins by 3 or more26%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more21%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NJJake Allen G · last 5 starts: .887 save %, 2.78 GAAstarted
ANALukas Dostal G · last 5 starts: .922 save %, 2.36 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NJ·ANA
Nov 1, 2025 at LA
last game
Oct 31, 2025 vs DET
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
2
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
NJ·ANA
+0.12
rating (0 = average)
−0.20
3.8
goals / game
3.7
3.0
goals allowed / game
3.3
9−3
season record
6−4
5−0
home record
2−1
4−3
away record
4−3
W1
streak
W2
8−2
last 10
6−4
28.6
shots / game
31.6
47.9
faceoff %
46.1
21.0
hits / game
22.8
18.2
blocked shots / game
13.7
5.3
takeaways / game
3.6
16.2
giveaways / game
15.5

Rating Trend

NJ · ANA · 20 days
New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Ducks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · ANA 4−4
Dec 31, 2024at ANAANA 3 − 2
Oct 27, 2024at NJNJ 6 − 2
Mar 1, 2024at ANAANA 4 − 3
Dec 17, 2023at NJANA 5 − 1
Jan 13, 2023at ANANJ 6 − 2
Oct 18, 2022at NJNJ 4 − 2
Mar 12, 2022at NJNJ 2 − 1 SO
Nov 2, 2021at ANAANA 4 − 0

NJ · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Nov 1, 2025at LA4 − 1W
Oct 30, 2025at SJ2 − 5L
Oct 28, 2025at COL4 − 8L
Oct 26, 2025vs COL4 − 3W
Oct 24, 2025vs SJ3 − 1W
Oct 22, 2025vs MIN4 − 1W
Oct 21, 2025at TOR5 − 2W
Oct 18, 2025vs EDM5 − 3W
Oct 16, 2025vs FLA3 − 1W
Oct 13, 2025at CBJ3 − 2W

ANA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 31, 2025vs DET5 − 2W
Oct 28, 2025at FLA3 − 2W
Oct 25, 2025at TB3 − 4L
Oct 23, 2025at BOS7 − 5W
Oct 21, 2025at NSH5 − 2W
Oct 19, 2025at CHI1 − 2L
Oct 16, 2025vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 14, 2025vs PIT4 − 3W
Oct 11, 2025at SJ7 − 6W
Oct 9, 2025at SEA1 − 3L