bayesRatings

Predators at Blues

NHL · Monday, Dec 15 · 7:00 PM CT · Enterprise Center · Final NSH 5 – STL 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH1315
STL1012
Team box
NSH·STL
26
shots
22
1 of 4
power play
1 of 3
65.3
faceoff %
34.7
13
hits
22
7
blocked shots
11
15
penalty minutes
17
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH2220.909
Joel HoferSTL2521.840

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
STL +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: STL 0 · NSH 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 39%, STL 61% · Updated Dec 15, 2025

Expected margin
STL by 0.7
Expected score
STL 3.4 – 2.7 NSH
Expected total
6.1
PredatorsThe matchupBlues
+156Our fair odds−156
2.7Expected goals3.4
−0.33Power rating−0.06
2.8Goals / game2.5
3.5Allowed / game3.6
27.9Shots / game25.4
52.9Faceoff %51.4
19.3Hits / game23.8
12−19Season record12−21
6−4Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · STL chance
Our model fair39.0%61.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+15639%————
STLSt. Louis Blues−15661%————
SpreadSTL by 0.7
NSHNashville Predators+0.7our margin————
STLSt. Louis Blues−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

St. Louis Blues by 0.7 expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 3%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 7%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 19%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 22%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 12%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 15%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 8%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 3%St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: 1%
← NSH wins bySTL wins by →
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more39%
St. Louis Blues wins by 3 or more27%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more19%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .921 save %, 2.64 GAAstarted
STLJoel Hofer G · last 5 starts: .942 save %, 1.68 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·STL
Dec 13, 2025 at COL
last game
Dec 12, 2025 vs CHI
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 31+ games
NSH·STL
−0.33
rating (0 = average)
−0.06
2.8
goals / game
2.5
3.5
goals allowed / game
3.6
12−19
season record
12−21
8−10
home record
6−11
4−9
away record
6−10
L1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
27.9
shots / game
25.4
52.9
faceoff %
51.4
19.3
hits / game
23.8
11.6
blocked shots / game
14.9
5.1
takeaways / game
4.3
15.5
giveaways / game
14.2

Rating Trend

NSH · STL · 62 days
Nashville PredatorsSt. Louis Blues
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · STL 5−5
Dec 11, 2025at NSHNSH 7 − 2
Mar 27, 2025at NSHSTL 3 − 2
Mar 23, 2025at STLSTL 4 − 1
Mar 18, 2025at NSHSTL 4 − 1
Dec 27, 2024at STLSTL 7 − 4
Apr 4, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 3
Feb 17, 2024at STLNSH 5 − 2
Nov 24, 2023at STLNSH 8 − 3
Apr 1, 2023at NSHNSH 6 − 1
Jan 19, 2023at STLSTL 5 − 2

NSH · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Dec 13, 2025at COL2 − 4L
Dec 11, 2025vs STL7 − 2W
Dec 9, 2025vs COL4 − 3W
Dec 6, 2025at CAR3 − 6L
Dec 4, 2025at FLA2 − 1W
Dec 2, 2025vs CGY5 − 1W
Nov 29, 2025vs WPG2 − 5L
Nov 28, 2025at CHI4 − 3W
Nov 26, 2025at DET6 − 3W
Nov 24, 2025vs FLA3 − 8L

STL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI3 − 2W
Dec 11, 2025at NSH2 − 7L
Dec 9, 2025vs BOS2 − 5L
Dec 7, 2025at MTL4 − 3W
Dec 6, 2025at OTT2 − 1W
Dec 4, 2025at BOS2 − 5L
Dec 1, 2025vs ANA1 − 4L
Nov 29, 2025vs UTAH1 − 0W
Nov 28, 2025vs OTT4 − 3W
Nov 26, 2025at NJ2 − 3L