bayesRatings

Predators at Blues

NHL · Saturday, Dec 27 · 7:00 PM CT · Enterprise Center · Final NSH 2 – STL 3
← NHL / Dec 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH1012
STL2013
Team box
NSH·STL
32
shots
20
0 of 2
power play
1 of 2
37.7
faceoff %
62.3
17
hits
25
3
blocked shots
19
4
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Pavel BuchnevichSTL203
Robert ThomasSTL021
Nicolas HagueNSH020
Fedor SvechkovNSH104
Brayden SchennSTL102
Tyson JostNSH101
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH2017.850
Joel HoferSTL3230.938

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
STL +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: STL 2 · NSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 43%, STL 57% · Updated Dec 27, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
STL 3.1 – 2.9 NSH
Expected total
6.0
PredatorsThe matchupBlues
+131Our fair odds−131
2.9Expected goals3.1
−0.21Power rating−0.11
2.9Goals / game2.5
3.4Allowed / game3.4
28.1Shots / game25.5
52.6Faceoff %50.6
19.3Hits / game23.1
16−20Season record14−24
7−3Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · STL chance
Our model fair43.4%56.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+13143%————
STLSt. Louis Blues−13157%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators+0.3our margin————
STLSt. Louis Blues−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 10%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 19%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 24%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 10%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 12%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 6%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 2%St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins bySTL wins by →
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more32%
St. Louis Blues wins by 3 or more22%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more25%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .913 save %, 2.42 GAAstarted
STLJoel Hofer G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.42 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·STL
Dec 23, 2025 at MIN
last game
Dec 22, 2025 at TB
3 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 36+ games
NSH·STL
−0.21
rating (0 = average)
−0.11
2.9
goals / game
2.5
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.4
16−20
season record
14−24
10−11
home record
7−13
6−9
away record
7−11
W3
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
5−5
28.1
shots / game
25.5
52.6
faceoff %
50.6
19.3
hits / game
23.1
11.6
blocked shots / game
14.6
5.1
takeaways / game
4.2
15.3
giveaways / game
13.8

Rating Trend

NSH · STL · 71 days
Nashville PredatorsSt. Louis Blues
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · STL 4−6
Dec 15, 2025at STLNSH 5 − 2
Dec 11, 2025at NSHNSH 7 − 2
Mar 27, 2025at NSHSTL 3 − 2
Mar 23, 2025at STLSTL 4 − 1
Mar 18, 2025at NSHSTL 4 − 1
Dec 27, 2024at STLSTL 7 − 4
Apr 4, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 3
Feb 17, 2024at STLNSH 5 − 2
Nov 24, 2023at STLNSH 8 − 3
Apr 1, 2023at NSHNSH 6 − 1

NSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Dec 23, 2025at MIN3 − 2W
Dec 21, 2025vs NYR2 − 1W
Dec 20, 2025vs TOR5 − 3W
Dec 17, 2025vs CAR1 − 4L
Dec 15, 2025at STL5 − 2W
Dec 13, 2025at COL2 − 4L
Dec 11, 2025vs STL7 − 2W
Dec 9, 2025vs COL4 − 3W
Dec 6, 2025at CAR3 − 6L
Dec 4, 2025at FLA2 − 1W

STL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 22, 2025at TB1 − 4L
Dec 20, 2025at FLA6 − 2W
Dec 18, 2025vs NYR1 − 2L
Dec 17, 2025vs WPG1 − 0W
Dec 15, 2025vs NSH2 − 5L
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI3 − 2W
Dec 11, 2025at NSH2 − 7L
Dec 9, 2025vs BOS2 − 5L
Dec 7, 2025at MTL4 − 3W
Dec 6, 2025at OTT2 − 1W