bayesRatings

Predators at Devils

NHL · Thursday, Jan 29 · 6:00 PM CT · Prudential Center · Final NSH 2 – NJ 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
NSH10102
NJ01113
Team box
NSH·NJ
29
shots
35
0 of 2
power play
0 of 3
50.0
faceoff %
50.0
17
hits
27
14
blocked shots
19
6
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Justus AnnunenNSH3532.914
Jacob MarkstromNJ2927.931

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NJ +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: NJ 1 · NSH 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 44%, NJ 56% · Updated Jan 29

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
NJ 3.0 – 2.7 NSH
Expected total
5.7
PredatorsThe matchupDevils
+129Our fair odds−129
2.7Expected goals3.0
−0.19Power rating−0.09
2.9Goals / game2.7
3.4Allowed / game3.1
28.2Shots / game29.5
51.5Faceoff %50.5
19.6Hits / game19.2
24−28Season record27−26
5−5Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · NJ chance
Our model fair43.6%56.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+12944%————
NJNew Jersey Devils−12956%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators+0.3our margin————
NJNew Jersey Devils−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 20%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 25%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 11%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 12%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 6%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 2%New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins byNJ wins by →
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more32%
New Jersey Devils wins by 3 or more21%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more24%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .907 save %, 2.63 GAAstarted
NJJacob Markstrom G · last 5 starts: .880 save %, 2.78 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·NJ
Jan 27 at BOS
last game
Jan 27 vs WPG
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
NSH·NJ
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.09
2.9
goals / game
2.7
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.1
24−28
season record
27−26
14−14
home record
12−12
10−14
away record
15−14
L2
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
5−5
28.2
shots / game
29.5
51.5
faceoff %
50.5
19.6
hits / game
19.2
11.8
blocked shots / game
14.5
5.3
takeaways / game
4.6
15.4
giveaways / game
15.3

Rating Trend

NSH · NJ · 104 days
Nashville PredatorsNew Jersey Devils
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NJ 3−5
Feb 23, 2025at NSHNJ 5 − 0
Nov 25, 2024at NJNJ 5 − 2
Apr 7, 2024at NJNSH 3 − 2 SO
Feb 13, 2024at NSHNJ 4 − 2
Jan 26, 2023at NSHNSH 6 − 4
Dec 1, 2022at NJNSH 4 − 3 OT
Dec 10, 2021at NJNSH 3 − 2
Nov 26, 2021at NSHNSH 4 − 2

NSH · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Jan 27at BOS2 − 3L
Jan 24vs UTAH2 − 5L
Jan 22vs OTT5 − 3W
Jan 20vs BUF3 − 5L
Jan 17at VGK2 − 7L
Jan 16at COL7 − 3W
Jan 13vs EDM4 − 3W
Jan 11vs WSH3 − 2W
Jan 10vs CHI0 − 3L
Jan 8vs NYI2 − 1W

NJ · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Jan 27vs WPG3 − 4L
Jan 25at SEA2 − 4L
Jan 23at VAN5 − 4W
Jan 20at EDM2 − 1W
Jan 19at CGY2 − 1W
Jan 17vs CAR1 − 4L
Jan 14vs SEA3 − 2W
Jan 12at MIN5 − 2W
Jan 11at WPG3 − 4L
Jan 8at PIT1 − 4L