bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Blues

NHL · Saturday, Jan 31 · 6:00 PM CT · Enterprise Center · Final CBJ 5 – STL 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ2215
STL1203
Team box
CBJ·STL
23
shots
33
1 of 2
power play
1 of 4
47.4
faceoff %
52.6
20
hits
21
11
blocked shots
10
8
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ3330.909
Jordan BinningtonSTL2218.818

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
STL +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: STL 1 · CBJ 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 49%, STL 51% · Updated Jan 31

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.1 – 2.9 STL
Expected total
6.0
Blue JacketsThe matchupBlues
+106Our fair odds−106
3.1Expected goals2.9
−0.07Power rating−0.17
3.2Goals / game2.5
3.3Allowed / game3.5
30.2Shots / game24.9
50.6Faceoff %50.0
19.7Hits / game23.6
26−27Season record20−34
8−2Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · STL chance
Our model fair48.6%51.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+10649%————
STLSt. Louis Blues−10651%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.2our margin————
STLSt. Louis Blues+0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 13%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 17%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 26%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 9%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 9%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 4%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 1%St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins bySTL wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more33%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more22%
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more24%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .915 save %, 2.35 GAAstarted
STLJordan Binnington G · last 5 starts: .831 save %, 4.45 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·STL
Jan 30 at CHI
last game
Jan 29 vs FLA
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 53+ games
CBJ·STL
−0.07
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
3.2
goals / game
2.5
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.5
26−27
season record
20−34
14−12
home record
13−16
12−15
away record
7−18
W4
streak
W1
8−2
last 10
3−7
30.2
shots / game
24.9
50.6
faceoff %
50.0
19.7
hits / game
23.6
14.7
blocked shots / game
14.7
4.9
takeaways / game
4.4
15.9
giveaways / game
14.1

Rating Trend

CBJ · STL · 106 days
Columbus Blue JacketsSt. Louis Blues
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · STL 3−6
Nov 1, 2025at CBJCBJ 3 − 2
Jan 11, 2025at STLCBJ 2 − 1
Jan 4, 2025at CBJCBJ 6 − 4
Jan 30, 2024at STLCBJ 1 − 0
Dec 8, 2023at CBJCBJ 5 − 2
Mar 11, 2023at CBJSTL 5 − 2
Oct 15, 2022at STLSTL 5 − 2
Mar 19, 2022at CBJCBJ 5 − 4
Nov 27, 2021at STLSTL 6 − 3

CBJ · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Jan 30at CHI4 − 2W
Jan 28vs PHI5 − 3W
Jan 24vs TB8 − 5W
Jan 22vs DAL1 − 0W
Jan 20vs OTT1 − 4L
Jan 17at PIT4 − 3W
Jan 15vs VAN4 − 1W
Jan 13vs CGY5 − 3W
Jan 11at UTAH3 − 2W
Jan 10at COL0 − 4L

STL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Jan 29vs FLA5 − 4W
Jan 27vs DAL3 − 4L
Jan 24vs LA4 − 5L
Jan 23at DAL2 − 3L
Jan 20at WPG1 − 3L
Jan 18at EDM0 − 5L
Jan 16vs TB3 − 2W
Jan 13vs CAR3 − 0W
Jan 10at VGK2 − 4L
Jan 9at UTAH2 − 4L