bayesRatings

Blues at Blue Jackets

NHL · Saturday, Nov 1 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final STL 2 – CBJ 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
STL1012
CBJ1113
Team box
STL·CBJ
39
shots
35
0 of 2
power play
1 of 3
55.4
faceoff %
44.6
21
hits
14
13
blocked shots
13
11
penalty minutes
9
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Joel HoferSTL3532.914
Jet GreavesCBJ3937.949

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
STL +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CBJ 2 · STL 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was STL 45%, CBJ 55% · Updated Nov 1, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.5 – 3.2 STL
Expected total
6.7
BluesThe matchupBlue Jackets
+120Our fair odds−120
3.2Expected goals3.5
+0.03Power rating−0.03
2.9Goals / game3.5
4.4Allowed / game3.1
26.7Shots / game32.6
49.9Faceoff %52.0
25.2Hits / game21.1
3−8Season record6−4
3−7Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
STL chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair45.4%54.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
STLSt. Louis Blues+12045%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−12055%————
Spreadabout even
STLSt. Louis Blues+0.3our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 2%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 5%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 10%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 9%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 21%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 13%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%
← STL wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more34%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more24%
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more26%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 20%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 12%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.533%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
STLJoel Hofer G · last 5 starts: .845 save %, 4.18 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .907 save %, 2.81 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
STL·CBJ
Oct 30, 2025 vs VAN
last game
Oct 29, 2025 vs TOR
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
STL·CBJ
+0.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.03
2.9
goals / game
3.5
4.4
goals allowed / game
3.1
3−8
season record
6−4
1−6
home record
2−3
2−2
away record
4−1
L6
streak
W3
3−7
last 10
6−4
26.7
shots / game
32.6
49.9
faceoff %
52.0
25.2
hits / game
21.1
12.7
blocked shots / game
14.1
4.6
takeaways / game
5.1
13.9
giveaways / game
15.9

Rating Trend

STL · CBJ · 19 days
St. Louis BluesColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CBJ 5−3
Jan 11, 2025at STLCBJ 2 − 1
Jan 4, 2025at CBJCBJ 6 − 4
Jan 30, 2024at STLCBJ 1 − 0
Dec 8, 2023at CBJCBJ 5 − 2
Mar 11, 2023at CBJSTL 5 − 2
Oct 15, 2022at STLSTL 5 − 2
Mar 19, 2022at CBJCBJ 5 − 4
Nov 27, 2021at STLSTL 6 − 3

STL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L6
Oct 30, 2025vs VAN3 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs DET2 − 5L
Oct 27, 2025at PIT3 − 6L
Oct 25, 2025at DET4 − 6L
Oct 23, 2025vs UTAH4 − 7L
Oct 21, 2025vs LA1 − 2L
Oct 18, 2025vs DAL3 − 1W
Oct 15, 2025vs CHI3 − 8L
Oct 13, 2025at VAN5 − 2W
Oct 11, 2025at CGY4 − 2W

CBJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 29, 2025vs TOR6 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025at BUF4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025at PIT5 − 4W
Oct 24, 2025vs WSH1 − 5L
Oct 21, 2025at DAL5 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025vs TB3 − 2W
Oct 16, 2025vs COL1 − 4L
Oct 13, 2025vs NJ2 − 3L
Oct 11, 2025at MIN7 − 4W
Oct 9, 2025at NSH1 − 2L