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Stars at Blues

NHL · Tuesday, Jan 27 · 7:00 PM CT · Enterprise Center · Final DAL 4 – STL 3
← NHL / Jan 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
DAL0314
STL0033
Team box
DAL·STL
24
shots
26
2 of 3
power play
0 of 3
51.9
faceoff %
48.1
12
hits
43
20
blocked shots
16
6
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Brayden SchennSTL204
Matt DucheneDAL203
Thomas HarleyDAL112
Jason RobertsonDAL022
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL022
Roope HintzDAL103
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jake OettingerDAL2623.885
Jordan BinningtonSTL2420.833

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
STL +3
DAL +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: STL 0 · DAL 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 55%, STL 45% · Updated Jan 27

Expected margin
DAL by 0.7
Expected score
DAL 3.1 – 2.4 STL
Expected total
5.6
StarsThe matchupBlues
−123Our fair odds+123
3.1Expected goals2.4
+0.20Power rating−0.17
3.3Goals / game2.4
2.8Allowed / game3.4
25.3Shots / game24.8
52.3Faceoff %50.1
18.1Hits / game23.2
29−23Season record19−33
4−6Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · STL chance
Our model fair55.2%44.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Stars−12355%————
STLSt. Louis Blues+12345%————
SpreadDAL by 0.7
DALDallas Stars−0.7our margin————
STLSt. Louis Blues+0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.6
Over5.6our total————
Under5.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Stars by 0.7 expected
Dallas Stars by 6 goals: 1%Dallas Stars by 5 goals: 3%Dallas Stars by 4 goals: 8%Dallas Stars by 3 goals: 15%Dallas Stars by 2 goals: 12%Dallas Stars by 1 goal: 18%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 25%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 7%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 7%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 3%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 1%St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%
← DAL wins bySTL wins by →
Dallas Stars wins by 2 or more40%
Dallas Stars wins by 3 or more28%
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.6 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 15%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: <1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.569%
Total over 5.546%
Total over 6.535%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
DALJake Oettinger G · last 5 starts: .915 save %, 2.04 GAAstarted
STLJordan Binnington G · last 5 starts: .864 save %, 3.63 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·STL
Jan 23 vs STL
last game
Jan 24 vs LA
3 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
DAL·STL
+0.20
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
3.3
goals / game
2.4
2.8
goals allowed / game
3.4
29−23
season record
19−33
14−10
home record
12−15
15−13
away record
7−18
W1
streak
L4
4−6
last 10
3−7
25.3
shots / game
24.8
52.3
faceoff %
50.1
18.1
hits / game
23.2
15.1
blocked shots / game
14.6
4.7
takeaways / game
4.3
14.7
giveaways / game
14.2

Rating Trend

DAL · STL · 102 days
Dallas StarsSt. Louis Blues
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · STL 3−7
Jan 23at DALDAL 3 − 2
Oct 18, 2025at STLSTL 3 − 1
Mar 2, 2025at DALDAL 6 − 3
Jan 25, 2025at STLDAL 2 − 0
Dec 14, 2024at DALDAL 2 − 1 OT
Apr 17, 2024at DALDAL 2 − 1 SO
Dec 27, 2023at STLSTL 2 − 1
Dec 16, 2023at STLSTL 4 − 3 OT
Oct 12, 2023at DALDAL 2 − 1 SO
Apr 13, 2023at DALDAL 1 − 0

DAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jan 23vs STL3 − 2W
Jan 22at CBJ0 − 1L
Jan 20vs BOS6 − 2W
Jan 18vs TB1 − 4L
Jan 15at UTAH1 − 2L
Jan 13at ANA1 − 3L
Jan 12at LA3 − 1W
Jan 10at SJ4 − 5L
Jan 7at WSH4 − 1W
Jan 6at CAR3 − 6L

STL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Jan 24vs LA4 − 5L
Jan 23at DAL2 − 3L
Jan 20at WPG1 − 3L
Jan 18at EDM0 − 5L
Jan 16vs TB3 − 2W
Jan 13vs CAR3 − 0W
Jan 10at VGK2 − 4L
Jan 9at UTAH2 − 4L
Jan 7at CHI3 − 7L
Jan 3vs MTL2 − 0W