bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Devils

NHL · Tuesday, Feb 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Prudential Center · Final CBJ 3 – NJ 0

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ0033
NJ0000
Team box
CBJ·NJ
25
shots
24
0 of 2
power play
0 of 3
53.8
faceoff %
46.2
19
hits
18
13
blocked shots
12
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Elvis MerzlikinsCBJ24241.000
Jacob MarkstromNJ2523.920

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NJ +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: NJ 0 · CBJ 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 48%, NJ 52% · Updated Feb 3

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 2.9 – 2.9 NJ
Expected total
5.8
Blue JacketsThe matchupDevils
+108Our fair odds−108
2.9Expected goals2.9
−0.02Power rating−0.11
3.2Goals / game2.6
3.3Allowed / game3.1
30.1Shots / game29.5
50.6Faceoff %50.6
19.7Hits / game19.4
27−27Season record28−27
9−1Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · NJ chance
Our model fair48.1%51.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+10848%————
NJNew Jersey Devils−10852%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.1our margin————
NJNew Jersey Devils+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our total————
Under5.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 6%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 12%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 18%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 26%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 9%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 10%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 5%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 1%New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byNJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more31%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more21%
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more25%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.572%
Total over 5.549%
Total over 6.538%
Total from 5 to 633%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJElvis Merzlikins G · last 5 starts: .911 save %, 2.56 GAAstarted
NJJacob Markstrom G · last 5 starts: .891 save %, 2.81 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·NJ
Jan 31 at STL
last game
Jan 31 at OTT
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
CBJ·NJ
−0.02
rating (0 = average)
−0.11
3.2
goals / game
2.6
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.1
27−27
season record
28−27
14−12
home record
13−12
13−15
away record
15−15
W5
streak
L1
9−1
last 10
6−4
30.1
shots / game
29.5
50.6
faceoff %
50.6
19.7
hits / game
19.4
14.6
blocked shots / game
14.5
4.9
takeaways / game
4.7
15.9
giveaways / game
15.4

Rating Trend

CBJ · NJ · 109 days
Columbus Blue JacketsNew Jersey Devils
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NJ 7−3
Dec 31, 2025at CBJNJ 3 − 2
Dec 1, 2025at NJCBJ 5 − 3
Oct 13, 2025at CBJNJ 3 − 2
Mar 17, 2025at CBJNJ 2 − 1
Mar 11, 2025at NJNJ 5 − 3
Dec 19, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 2
Jan 19, 2024at CBJNJ 4 − 1
Dec 27, 2023at NJNJ 4 − 3 OT
Dec 16, 2023at CBJNJ 6 − 3
Nov 24, 2023at NJCBJ 2 − 1

CBJ · Last 10

9−1 · streak W5
Jan 31at STL5 − 3W
Jan 30at CHI4 − 2W
Jan 28vs PHI5 − 3W
Jan 24vs TB8 − 5W
Jan 22vs DAL1 − 0W
Jan 20vs OTT1 − 4L
Jan 17at PIT4 − 3W
Jan 15vs VAN4 − 1W
Jan 13vs CGY5 − 3W
Jan 11at UTAH3 − 2W

NJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 31at OTT1 − 4L
Jan 29vs NSH3 − 2W
Jan 27vs WPG3 − 4L
Jan 25at SEA2 − 4L
Jan 23at VAN5 − 4W
Jan 20at EDM2 − 1W
Jan 19at CGY2 − 1W
Jan 17vs CAR1 − 4L
Jan 14vs SEA3 − 2W
Jan 12at MIN5 − 2W