bayesRatings

Devils at Blue Jackets

NHL · Wednesday, Dec 31 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final NJ 3 – CBJ 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NJ0033
CBJ1102
Team box
NJ·CBJ
33
shots
35
1 of 1
power play
0 of 3
50.0
faceoff %
50.0
17
hits
26
10
blocked shots
11
11
penalty minutes
7
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jake AllenNJ3533.943
Jet GreavesCBJ3330.909

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
NJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CBJ 2 · NJ 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NJ 47%, CBJ 53% · Updated Dec 31, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.2 – 3.0 NJ
Expected total
6.3
DevilsThe matchupBlue Jackets
+114Our fair odds−114
3.0Expected goals3.2
−0.07Power rating−0.10
2.7Goals / game3.1
3.0Allowed / game3.4
29.6Shots / game30.1
50.0Faceoff %50.7
19.7Hits / game18.7
20−19Season record17−21
4−6Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NJ chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair46.7%53.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NJNew Jersey Devils+11447%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−11453%————
Spreadabout even
NJNew Jersey Devils+0.2our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.3
Over6.3our total————
Under6.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: <1%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 2%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 5%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 10%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 9%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 22%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 12%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 6%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%
← NJ wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more32%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more22%
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more26%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.3 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.558%
Total over 6.547%
Total over 7.527%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NJJake Allen G · last 5 starts: .915 save %, 2.63 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .924 save %, 1.98 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NJ·CBJ
Dec 30, 2025 at TOR
last game
Dec 29, 2025 at OTT
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 38+ games
NJ·CBJ
−0.07
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
2.7
goals / game
3.1
3.0
goals allowed / game
3.4
20−19
season record
17−21
10−9
home record
8−9
10−10
away record
9−12
L4
streak
W3
4−6
last 10
4−6
29.6
shots / game
30.1
50.0
faceoff %
50.7
19.7
hits / game
18.7
15.2
blocked shots / game
14.2
4.8
takeaways / game
4.9
15.4
giveaways / game
16.3

Rating Trend

NJ · CBJ · 75 days
New Jersey DevilsColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CBJ 3−7
Dec 1, 2025at NJCBJ 5 − 3
Oct 13, 2025at CBJNJ 3 − 2
Mar 17, 2025at CBJNJ 2 − 1
Mar 11, 2025at NJNJ 5 − 3
Dec 19, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 2
Jan 19, 2024at CBJNJ 4 − 1
Dec 27, 2023at NJNJ 4 − 3 OT
Dec 16, 2023at CBJNJ 6 − 3
Nov 24, 2023at NJCBJ 2 − 1
Apr 6, 2023at NJNJ 8 − 1

NJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak L4
Dec 30, 2025at TOR0 − 4L
Dec 27, 2025vs WSH3 − 4L
Dec 23, 2025at NYI1 − 2L
Dec 21, 2025vs BUF1 − 3L
Dec 19, 2025at UTAH2 − 1W
Dec 17, 2025at VGK2 − 1W
Dec 14, 2025vs VAN1 − 2L
Dec 13, 2025vs ANA4 − 1W
Dec 11, 2025vs TB4 − 8L
Dec 9, 2025at OTT4 − 3W

CBJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak W3
Dec 29, 2025at OTT4 − 1W
Dec 28, 2025vs NYI4 − 2W
Dec 22, 2025at LA3 − 1W
Dec 20, 2025at ANA3 − 4L
Dec 18, 2025vs MIN2 − 5L
Dec 16, 2025vs ANA4 − 3W
Dec 13, 2025vs VGK2 − 3L
Dec 11, 2025vs OTT3 − 6L
Dec 9, 2025at CAR1 − 4L
Dec 7, 2025at WSH0 − 2L