bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Ducks

NHL · Saturday, Dec 20 · 9:00 PM CT · Honda Center · Final CBJ 3 – ANA 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ1113
ANA2114
Team box
CBJ·ANA
26
shots
28
1 of 2
power play
0 of 3
57.4
faceoff %
42.6
12
hits
19
11
blocked shots
26
6
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Elvis MerzlikinsCBJ2824.857
Lukas DostalANA2623.885

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ANA +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: ANA 2 · CBJ 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 44%, ANA 56% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
ANA by 0.5
Expected score
ANA 3.7 – 3.2 CBJ
Expected total
6.9
Blue JacketsThe matchupDucks
+125Our fair odds−125
3.2Expected goals3.7
−0.14Power rating−0.08
3.0Goals / game3.5
3.5Allowed / game3.4
30.3Shots / game30.7
50.6Faceoff %45.7
18.7Hits / game20.4
14−20Season record20−15
3−7Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · ANA chance
Our model fair44.5%55.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+12544%————
ANAAnaheim Ducks−12556%————
SpreadANA by 0.5
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.5our margin————
ANAAnaheim Ducks−0.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.9
Over6.9our total————
Under6.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Anaheim Ducks by 0.5 expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 7 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 4%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 9%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 21%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 18%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 11%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 14%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 8%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 3%Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: 1%Anaheim Ducks by 7 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byANA wins by →
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more38%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 3 or more27%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal39%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.9 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 1%3 goals: 7%4 goals: 6%5 goals: 17%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 20%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 13%10 goals: 5%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 2%13 goals: 2%14 goals: <1%15 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.567%
Total over 6.556%
Total over 7.536%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJElvis Merzlikins G · last 5 starts: .850 save %, 4.87 GAAstarted
ANALukas Dostal G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.39 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·ANA
Dec 18, 2025 vs MIN
last game
Dec 19, 2025 vs DAL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
CBJ·ANA
−0.14
rating (0 = average)
−0.08
3.0
goals / game
3.5
3.5
goals allowed / game
3.4
14−20
season record
20−15
7−9
home record
11−5
7−11
away record
9−10
L1
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
5−5
30.3
shots / game
30.7
50.6
faceoff %
45.7
18.7
hits / game
20.4
14.3
blocked shots / game
15.0
4.9
takeaways / game
4.8
16.2
giveaways / game
15.3

Rating Trend

CBJ · ANA · 67 days
Columbus Blue JacketsAnaheim Ducks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · ANA 7−2
Dec 16, 2025at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 OT
Dec 14, 2024at CBJANA 4 − 3 OT
Nov 10, 2024at ANAANA 4 − 2
Feb 21, 2024at ANACBJ 7 − 4
Oct 24, 2023at CBJANA 3 − 2 OT
Mar 17, 2023at ANAANA 7 − 4
Jan 19, 2023at CBJANA 5 − 3
Apr 17, 2022at ANAANA 6 − 4
Dec 9, 2021at CBJANA 2 − 1 SO

CBJ · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Dec 18, 2025vs MIN2 − 5L
Dec 16, 2025vs ANA4 − 3W
Dec 13, 2025vs VGK2 − 3L
Dec 11, 2025vs OTT3 − 6L
Dec 9, 2025at CAR1 − 4L
Dec 7, 2025at WSH0 − 2L
Dec 6, 2025at FLA6 − 7L
Dec 4, 2025vs DET6 − 5W
Dec 1, 2025at NJ5 − 3W
Nov 28, 2025vs PIT3 − 4L

ANA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Dec 19, 2025vs DAL3 − 8L
Dec 16, 2025at CBJ3 − 4L
Dec 15, 2025at NYR4 − 1W
Dec 13, 2025at NJ1 − 4L
Dec 11, 2025at NYI2 − 5L
Dec 9, 2025at PIT4 − 3W
Dec 7, 2025vs CHI7 − 1W
Dec 5, 2025vs WSH4 − 3W
Dec 3, 2025vs UTAH0 − 7L
Dec 1, 2025at STL4 − 1W