bayesRatings

Ducks at Blue Jackets

NHL · Tuesday, Dec 16 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final ANA 3 – CBJ 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
ANA02103
CBJ12014
Team box
ANA·CBJ
27
shots
28
0 of 4
power play
0 of 2
42.3
faceoff %
57.7
20
hits
20
21
blocked shots
19
4
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Ville HussoANA2824.857
Jet GreavesCBJ2724.889

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
ANA +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: CBJ 2 · ANA 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ANA 47%, CBJ 53% · Updated Dec 16, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.6 – 3.4 ANA
Expected total
6.9
DucksThe matchupBlue Jackets
+111Our fair odds−111
3.4Expected goals3.6
−0.08Power rating−0.14
3.6Goals / game3.0
3.3Allowed / game3.5
30.9Shots / game30.4
45.8Faceoff %49.9
20.4Hits / game18.4
20−13Season record13−19
6−4Last 102−8

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ANA chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair47.3%52.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ANAAnaheim Ducks+11147%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−11153%————
Spreadabout even
ANAAnaheim Ducks+0.2our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.9
Over6.9our total————
Under6.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: <1%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 2%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 5%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 10%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 9%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 12%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%
← ANA wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more33%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more23%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal40%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.9 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 1%3 goals: 7%4 goals: 6%5 goals: 17%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 20%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 13%10 goals: 5%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 2%13 goals: 2%14 goals: <1%15 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.567%
Total over 6.556%
Total over 7.536%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
ANAVille Husso G · last 5 starts: .890 save %, 3.38 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .908 save %, 2.81 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ANA·CBJ
Dec 15, 2025 at NYR
last game
Dec 13, 2025 vs VGK
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 32+ games
ANA·CBJ
−0.08
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
3.6
goals / game
3.0
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.5
20−13
season record
13−19
11−4
home record
6−8
9−9
away record
7−11
W1
streak
L5
6−4
last 10
2−8
30.9
shots / game
30.4
45.8
faceoff %
49.9
20.4
hits / game
18.4
14.9
blocked shots / game
14.2
4.9
takeaways / game
4.9
15.1
giveaways / game
16.2

Rating Trend

ANA · CBJ · 63 days
Anaheim DucksColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CBJ 1−7
Dec 14, 2024at CBJANA 4 − 3 OT
Nov 10, 2024at ANAANA 4 − 2
Feb 21, 2024at ANACBJ 7 − 4
Oct 24, 2023at CBJANA 3 − 2 OT
Mar 17, 2023at ANAANA 7 − 4
Jan 19, 2023at CBJANA 5 − 3
Apr 17, 2022at ANAANA 6 − 4
Dec 9, 2021at CBJANA 2 − 1 SO

ANA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Dec 15, 2025at NYR4 − 1W
Dec 13, 2025at NJ1 − 4L
Dec 11, 2025at NYI2 − 5L
Dec 9, 2025at PIT4 − 3W
Dec 7, 2025vs CHI7 − 1W
Dec 5, 2025vs WSH4 − 3W
Dec 3, 2025vs UTAH0 − 7L
Dec 1, 2025at STL4 − 1W
Nov 30, 2025at CHI3 − 5L
Nov 28, 2025vs LA5 − 4W

CBJ · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Dec 13, 2025vs VGK2 − 3L
Dec 11, 2025vs OTT3 − 6L
Dec 9, 2025at CAR1 − 4L
Dec 7, 2025at WSH0 − 2L
Dec 6, 2025at FLA6 − 7L
Dec 4, 2025vs DET6 − 5W
Dec 1, 2025at NJ5 − 3W
Nov 28, 2025vs PIT3 − 4L
Nov 26, 2025vs TOR1 − 2L
Nov 24, 2025at WSH1 − 5L