bayesRatings

Blackhawks at Ducks

NHL · Sunday, Dec 7 · 7:00 PM CT · Honda Center · Final CHI 1 – ANA 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CHI0011
ANA1427
Team box
CHI·ANA
20
shots
53
1 of 2
power play
2 of 5
48.3
faceoff %
51.7
15
hits
15
10
blocked shots
8
10
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Arvid SoderblomCHI5346.868
Ville HussoANA2019.950

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ANA +6
CHI +6
P1P2P3
largest lead: ANA 6 · CHI 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 41%, ANA 59% · Updated Dec 7, 2025

Expected margin
ANA by 0.6
Expected score
ANA 3.6 – 3.1 CHI
Expected total
6.7
BlackhawksThe matchupDucks
+144Our fair odds−144
3.1Expected goals3.6
−0.25Power rating−0.07
3.0Goals / game3.6
3.0Allowed / game3.4
25.6Shots / game30.4
46.8Faceoff %46.5
17.2Hits / game20.6
12−16Season record17−11
3−7Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · ANA chance
Our model fair40.9%59.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Blackhawks+14441%————
ANAAnaheim Ducks−14459%————
SpreadANA by 0.6
CHIChicago Blackhawks+0.6our margin————
ANAAnaheim Ducks−0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Anaheim Ducks by 0.6 expected
Chicago Blackhawks by 7 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 1%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 4%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 8%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 8%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 19%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 21%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 11%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 14%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 8%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 3%Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: 1%Anaheim Ducks by 7 goals: <1%
← CHI wins byANA wins by →
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more38%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 3 or more27%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more22%
Decided by one goal40%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 18%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 12%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.533%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CHIArvid Soderblom G · last 5 starts: .874 save %, 3.85 GAAstarted
ANAVille Husso G · last 5 starts: .896 save %, 2.90 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·ANA
Dec 6, 2025 at LA
last game
Dec 5, 2025 vs WSH
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 28+ games
CHI·ANA
−0.25
rating (0 = average)
−0.07
3.0
goals / game
3.6
3.0
goals allowed / game
3.4
12−16
season record
17−11
6−8
home record
10−4
6−8
away record
7−7
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
25.6
shots / game
30.4
46.8
faceoff %
46.5
17.2
hits / game
20.6
12.9
blocked shots / game
14.9
5.2
takeaways / game
4.9
17.2
giveaways / game
15.1

Rating Trend

CHI · ANA · 54 days
Chicago BlackhawksAnaheim Ducks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ANA 4−6
Nov 30, 2025at CHICHI 5 − 3
Oct 19, 2025at CHICHI 2 − 1 OT
Mar 1, 2025at ANACHI 6 − 3
Nov 19, 2024at CHIANA 3 − 2
Nov 3, 2024at ANACHI 4 − 2
Mar 21, 2024at ANAANA 4 − 0
Mar 12, 2024at CHICHI 7 − 2
Dec 7, 2023at CHICHI 1 − 0
Feb 27, 2023at ANAANA 4 − 2
Feb 7, 2023at CHIANA 3 − 2 OT

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Dec 6, 2025at LA0 − 6L
Dec 4, 2025at LA2 − 1W
Dec 2, 2025at VGK3 − 4L
Nov 30, 2025vs ANA5 − 3W
Nov 28, 2025vs NSH3 − 4L
Nov 26, 2025vs MIN3 − 4L
Nov 23, 2025vs COL0 − 1L
Nov 21, 2025at BUF3 − 9L
Nov 20, 2025vs SEA2 − 3L
Nov 18, 2025vs CGY5 − 2W

ANA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Dec 5, 2025vs WSH4 − 3W
Dec 3, 2025vs UTAH0 − 7L
Dec 1, 2025at STL4 − 1W
Nov 30, 2025at CHI3 − 5L
Nov 28, 2025vs LA5 − 4W
Nov 26, 2025vs VAN4 − 5L
Nov 22, 2025vs VGK4 − 3W
Nov 20, 2025vs OTT2 − 3L
Nov 19, 2025vs BOS4 − 3W
Nov 17, 2025vs UTAH3 − 2W