bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Kings

NHL · Monday, Dec 22 · 9:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final CBJ 3 – LA 1
← NHL / Dec 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ2013
LA0101
Team box
CBJ·LA
30
shots
24
3 of 7
power play
0 of 5
53.3
faceoff %
46.7
15
hits
19
12
blocked shots
10
12
penalty minutes
16
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Mason MarchmentCBJ204
Damon SeversonCBJ023
Andrei KuzmenkoLA103
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ102
Boone JennerCBJ014
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ013
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ2423.958
Anton ForsbergLA3027.900

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LA +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: LA 0 · CBJ 2lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 41%, LA 59% · Updated Dec 22, 2025

Expected margin
LA by 0.6
Expected score
LA 3.1 – 2.6 CBJ
Expected total
5.7
Blue JacketsThe matchupKings
+146Our fair odds−146
2.6Expected goals3.1
−0.14Power rating+0.08
3.0Goals / game2.6
3.5Allowed / game2.6
30.1Shots / game28.1
50.8Faceoff %49.6
18.5Hits / game17.3
14−21Season record15−19
3−7Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · LA chance
Our model fair40.7%59.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+14641%————
LALos Angeles Kings−14659%————
SpreadLA by 0.6
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.6our margin————
LALos Angeles Kings−0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Kings by 0.6 expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 21%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 22%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 12%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 14%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 8%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: 1%
← CBJ wins byLA wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more37%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more25%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more20%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .895 save %, 2.98 GAAstarted
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .918 save %, 2.32 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·LA
Dec 20, 2025 at ANA
last game
Dec 18, 2025 at TB
1 day
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
CBJ·LA
−0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.08
3.0
goals / game
2.6
3.5
goals allowed / game
2.6
14−21
season record
15−19
7−9
home record
4−10
7−12
away record
11−9
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
4−6
30.1
shots / game
28.1
50.8
faceoff %
49.6
18.5
hits / game
17.3
14.2
blocked shots / game
13.9
4.9
takeaways / game
4.5
16.2
giveaways / game
16.7

Rating Trend

CBJ · LA · 69 days
Columbus Blue JacketsLos Angeles Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · LA 6−2
Jan 25, 2025at CBJCBJ 3 − 2 OT
Nov 9, 2024at LALA 5 − 2
Feb 20, 2024at LALA 5 − 1
Dec 5, 2023at CBJLA 4 − 3 OT
Mar 16, 2023at LALA 4 − 1
Dec 11, 2022at CBJCBJ 6 − 5 OT
Apr 16, 2022at LALA 2 − 1
Mar 4, 2022at CBJLA 4 − 3 OT

CBJ · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 20, 2025at ANA3 − 4L
Dec 18, 2025vs MIN2 − 5L
Dec 16, 2025vs ANA4 − 3W
Dec 13, 2025vs VGK2 − 3L
Dec 11, 2025vs OTT3 − 6L
Dec 9, 2025at CAR1 − 4L
Dec 7, 2025at WSH0 − 2L
Dec 6, 2025at FLA6 − 7L
Dec 4, 2025vs DET6 − 5W
Dec 1, 2025at NJ5 − 3W

LA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 18, 2025at TB2 − 1W
Dec 17, 2025at FLA2 − 3L
Dec 15, 2025at DAL1 − 4L
Dec 13, 2025vs CGY1 − 2L
Dec 10, 2025at SEA2 − 3L
Dec 8, 2025at UTAH4 − 2W
Dec 6, 2025vs CHI6 − 0W
Dec 4, 2025vs CHI1 − 2L
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH1 − 3L
Nov 29, 2025vs VAN2 − 1W